L’École des cotes

Milwaukee Brewers v New York Mets

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-20 23:41 UTC

Score final : Milwaukee Brewers 8–3 New York Mets

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Prévision 65.80%1.52cote équitable
EV -0.639%
Avantage -0.423%
Kelly -1.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.29%65.91%65.79%69.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.451.441.5173.53%69.20%69.44%66.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New York Mets (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.20%2.92cote équitable
EV +3.96%
Avantage +1.30%
Kelly +1.94%
Croissance +0.077%

avec la cote maximale 3.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.91%34.09%34.21%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.622.792.803.0438.17%35.80%35.71%32.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 69.09%EV -10.51%E -7.73%K -29.19%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.91%EV +3.96%E +1.30%K +1.94%G +0.077%6.4%2026-07-20 23:40
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -7.22%E -5.12%K -17.61%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV +0.201%E +0.068%K +0.104%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 23:40
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -0.825%E -0.285%K -0.434%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-20 22:25
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.56%E -4.62%K -15.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.825%E -0.285%K -0.434%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 22:25
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.88%E -5.63%K -19.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.825%E -0.285%K -0.434%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-20 23:40
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87%EV -1.17%E -0.404%K -0.618%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-20 23:40
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87%EV -1.17%E -0.404%K -0.618%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-20 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -1.85%E -0.645%K -0.990%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 21:15
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -2.54%E -0.890%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-20 23:30
Everygame1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -2.54%E -0.890%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-20 23:39
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.27%E -2.23%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.54%E -0.890%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-20 22:00
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -2.54%E -0.890%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 21:40
ReBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.54%E -0.890%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 20:40
Caesars1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.54%E -0.890%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 23:40
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.54%E -0.890%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 21:20
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.54%E -0.890%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 22:20
MyBookie.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-20 20:35
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 22:25
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 22:30
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -3.56%E -1.26%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-20 23:35
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -0.639%E -0.423%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -3.90%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-20 23:20
BetAnything1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-20 22:05
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-20 20:45
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-20 23:40
Hard Rock Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 23:05
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 22:00
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 22:00
Virgin Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 22:00
Bally Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 22:00
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 23:40
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 22:00
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 23:40
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 23:40
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 23:40
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 23:40
Bovada1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -3.93%E -2.69%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -4.93%E -1.77%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 23:35
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.93%E -1.77%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 19:24
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -5.61%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-20 19:25
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-20 10:10
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-20 15:25
Fanatics1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.27%E -2.23%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-20 23:15
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.93%E -2.69%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 19:25
Bet Right1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.93%E -2.69%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 15:25
888sport1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 15:25
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 15:24
Mr Green (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 15:25
888sport (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 15:25
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 23:40
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 10:20
Dabble (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 22:25
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 23:40
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-20 23:25
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.56%E -4.62%K -15.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-20 23:40
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -3.93%E -2.69%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -6.98%E -2.57%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 23:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -1.30%E -0.865%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-20 12:10
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 21:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 21:20
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -7.22%E -5.12%K -17.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-20 23:10
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.88%E -5.63%K -19.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 23:28
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.88%E -5.63%K -19.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 23:40
betano_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.88%E -5.63%K -19.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 23:30
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -8.54%E -6.14%K -21.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-20 23:40
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.40%E -3.97%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-20 21:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.2%2026-07-20 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.2%2026-07-20 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.2%2026-07-20 23:40
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-07-20 21:15
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-07-20 18:55
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79%1.4%2026-07-20 23:40
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94%1.6%2026-07-20 23:40
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.21%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.79%2.7%2026-07-20 23:40
BetOpenly1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%3.5%2026-07-20 23:20
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%4.2%2026-07-20 23:40