默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Milwaukee Brewers v New York Mets

开赛时间: 2026-07-20 23:41 UTC

最终结果: Milwaukee Brewers 8–3 New York Mets

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

64 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Milwaukee Brewers (主队)

预测 65.80%1.52公平赔率
EV -0.639%
优势 -0.423%
Kelly -1.25%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.51

博彩公司预测分布
64.29%65.91%65.79%69.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.361.451.441.5173.53%69.20%69.44%66.23%最小值均值中位数最大值

New York Mets (客队)

预测 34.20%2.92公平赔率
EV +3.96%
优势 +1.30%
Kelly +1.94%
增长率 +0.077%

假设最高赔率为 3.04

博彩公司预测分布
30.91%34.09%34.21%35.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.622.792.803.0438.17%35.80%35.71%32.89%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Milwaukee Brewers (主队):65.80%;New York Mets (客队):34.20%。 对于“New York Mets (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.92。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.04,对应+3.96%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.09%EV -10.51%E -7.73%K -29.19%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.91%EV +3.96%E +1.30%K +1.94%G +0.077%6.4%2026-07-20 23:40
GTbets🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -7.22%E -5.12%K -17.61%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV +0.201%E +0.068%K +0.104%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 23:40
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -0.825%E -0.285%K -0.434%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-20 22:25
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.56%E -4.62%K -15.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.825%E -0.285%K -0.434%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 22:25
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.88%E -5.63%K -19.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.825%E -0.285%K -0.434%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-20 23:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87%EV -1.17%E -0.404%K -0.618%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-20 23:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87%EV -1.17%E -0.404%K -0.618%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-20 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -1.85%E -0.645%K -0.990%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 21:15
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -2.54%E -0.890%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-20 23:30
Everygame🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -2.54%E -0.890%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-20 23:39
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.27%E -2.23%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.54%E -0.890%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-20 22:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -2.54%E -0.890%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 21:40
ReBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.54%E -0.890%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 20:40
Caesars🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.54%E -0.890%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 23:40
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.54%E -0.890%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 21:20
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.54%E -0.890%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 22:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-20 20:35
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 22:25
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 22:30
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -3.56%E -1.26%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-20 23:35
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -0.639%E -0.423%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -3.90%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-20 23:20
BetAnything🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-20 22:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-20 20:45
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-20 23:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 23:05
Unibet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 22:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 22:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 22:00
Bally Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 22:00
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 23:40
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 22:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 23:40
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 23:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 23:40
Bovada🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -3.93%E -2.69%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -4.93%E -1.77%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 23:35
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.93%E -1.77%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 19:24
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -5.61%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-20 19:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-20 10:10
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-20 15:25
Fanatics🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.27%E -2.23%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-20 23:15
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.93%E -2.69%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 19:25
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.93%E -2.69%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 15:25
888sport🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 15:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 15:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 15:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 15:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 23:40
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 10:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 22:25
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 23:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-20 23:25
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.56%E -4.62%K -15.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-20 23:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -3.93%E -2.69%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -6.98%E -2.57%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 23:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -1.30%E -0.865%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-20 12:10
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 21:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 21:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -7.22%E -5.12%K -17.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-20 23:10
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.88%E -5.63%K -19.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 23:28
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.88%E -5.63%K -19.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 23:40
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.88%E -5.63%K -19.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 23:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -8.54%E -6.14%K -21.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-20 23:40
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.40%E -3.97%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-20 21:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.2%2026-07-20 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.2%2026-07-20 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.2%2026-07-20 23:40
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-07-20 21:15
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-07-20 18:55
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79%1.4%2026-07-20 23:40
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94%1.6%2026-07-20 23:40
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.21%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.79%2.7%2026-07-20 23:40
BetOpenly1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%3.5%2026-07-20 23:20
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%4.2%2026-07-20 23:40