La escuela de los momios

Milwaukee Brewers v New York Mets

Inicio: 2026-07-20 23:41 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 8–3 New York Mets

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Predicción 65.80%1.52momio equitativo
EV -0.639%
Ventaja -0.423%
Kelly -1.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.29%65.91%65.79%69.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.451.441.5173.53%69.20%69.44%66.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

New York Mets (Visitante)

Predicción 34.20%2.92momio equitativo
EV +3.96%
Ventaja +1.30%
Kelly +1.94%
Crecimiento +0.077%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.04

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.91%34.09%34.21%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.792.803.0438.17%35.80%35.71%32.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 69.09%EV -10.51%E -7.73%K -29.19%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.91%EV +3.96%E +1.30%K +1.94%G +0.077%6.4%2026-07-20 23:40
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -7.22%E -5.12%K -17.61%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV +0.201%E +0.068%K +0.104%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 23:40
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -0.825%E -0.285%K -0.434%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-20 22:25
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.56%E -4.62%K -15.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.825%E -0.285%K -0.434%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 22:25
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.88%E -5.63%K -19.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.825%E -0.285%K -0.434%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-20 23:40
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87%EV -1.17%E -0.404%K -0.618%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-20 23:40
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87%EV -1.17%E -0.404%K -0.618%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-20 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -1.85%E -0.645%K -0.990%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 21:15
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -2.54%E -0.890%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-20 23:30
Everygame1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -2.54%E -0.890%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-20 23:39
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.27%E -2.23%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.54%E -0.890%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-20 22:00
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -2.54%E -0.890%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 21:40
ReBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.54%E -0.890%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 20:40
Caesars1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.54%E -0.890%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 23:40
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.54%E -0.890%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 21:20
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.54%E -0.890%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 22:20
MyBookie.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-20 20:35
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 22:25
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 22:30
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -3.56%E -1.26%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-20 23:35
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -0.639%E -0.423%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -3.90%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-20 23:20
BetAnything1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-20 22:05
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-20 20:45
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-20 23:40
Hard Rock Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 23:05
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 22:00
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 22:00
Virgin Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 22:00
Bally Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 22:00
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 23:40
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 22:00
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 23:40
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 23:40
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 23:40
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 23:40
Bovada1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -3.93%E -2.69%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -4.93%E -1.77%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 23:35
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.93%E -1.77%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 19:24
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -5.61%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-20 19:25
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-20 10:10
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-20 15:25
Fanatics1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.27%E -2.23%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-20 23:15
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.93%E -2.69%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 19:25
Bet Right1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.93%E -2.69%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 15:25
888sport1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 15:25
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 15:24
Mr Green (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 15:25
888sport (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.59%E -3.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 15:25
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 23:40
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 10:20
Dabble (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 22:25
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 23:40
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-20 23:25
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.56%E -4.62%K -15.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-20 23:40
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -3.93%E -2.69%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -6.98%E -2.57%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 23:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -1.30%E -0.865%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-20 12:10
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 21:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.61%E -1.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 21:20
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -7.22%E -5.12%K -17.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-20 23:10
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.88%E -5.63%K -19.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 23:28
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.88%E -5.63%K -19.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 23:40
betano_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.88%E -5.63%K -19.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 23:30
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -8.54%E -6.14%K -21.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -7.66%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-20 23:40
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.25%E -3.64%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.40%E -3.97%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-20 21:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.2%2026-07-20 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.2%2026-07-20 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.2%2026-07-20 23:40
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-07-20 21:15
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-07-20 18:55
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79%1.4%2026-07-20 23:40
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94%1.6%2026-07-20 23:40
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.21%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.79%2.7%2026-07-20 23:40
BetOpenly1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%3.5%2026-07-20 23:20
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%4.2%2026-07-20 23:40