Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers v Chicago Cubs

Kickoff: 2026-09-08 23:41 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 4–3 Chicago Cubs

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Prediction 64.34%1.55fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -2.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%64.49%64.24%66.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.471.481.5371.43%67.86%67.57%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Visit)

Prediction 35.66%2.80fair odd
EV +0.192%
Edge +0.068%
Kelly +0.106%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.65%35.51%35.76%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.702.702.8139.22%37.02%37.04%35.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 64.34%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 35.66%. For Chicago Cubs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.80. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.81, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.192%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -2.84%E -1.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV +0.192%E +0.068%K +0.106%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-08 18:34
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV +0.192%E +0.068%K +0.106%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-08 17:55
Fanatics🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-08 21:54
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 23:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 23:39
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 23:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 23:39
Unibet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 23:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 23:39
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 23:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 23:39
Bally Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 23:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 23:39
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.99%E -5.59%K -18.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 23:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.63%E -6.08%K -20.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 22:44
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -1.59%E -0.576%K -0.904%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-08 22:44
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.95%E -0.708%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-08 22:43
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -6.06%E -4.15%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -1.95%E -0.708%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-08 22:43
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.99%E -5.59%K -18.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -1.95%E -0.708%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 23:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.99%E -5.59%K -18.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -1.95%E -0.708%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 23:39
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17%EV -1.55%E -1.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83%EV -2.30%E -0.841%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-08 23:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -2.20%E -1.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -3.02%E -1.11%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-08 22:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -2.20%E -1.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -3.02%E -1.11%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-08 22:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -6.06%E -4.15%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -3.02%E -1.11%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 18:29
GTbets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.07%EV -2.20%E -1.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.93%EV -3.37%E -1.24%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-08 22:20
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -1.55%E -1.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-08 22:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-08 23:34
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-08 23:35
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-08 21:55
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-08 23:39
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 23:34
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 22:04
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 22:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 22:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.70%E -4.62%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 22:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.70%E -4.62%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 22:44
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-08 23:39
BetUS🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -2.20%E -1.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -4.09%E -1.52%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-08 23:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -4.44%E -1.66%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-08 21:10
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.13%E -2.77%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -4.44%E -1.66%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 23:14
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.80%E -1.80%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 23:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 22:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 23:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 23:33
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 21:55
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 21:54
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 23:39
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 22:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 22:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 22:44
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -6.23%E -2.37%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 23:34
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 22:10
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-08 22:44
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 23:29
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 23:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 22:05
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 22:05
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 23:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 23:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 23:33
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.70%E -4.62%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 23:30
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.70%E -4.62%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 23:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.70%E -4.62%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -9.08%E -3.56%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-08 23:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-09-08 23:40
Matchbook◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-09-08 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-09-08 23:29
ProphetX◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%0.7%2026-09-08 23:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%0.7%2026-09-08 23:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%0.7%2026-09-08 23:40
Polymarket◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-09-08 22:00
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-09-08 23:39
Smarkets◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83%1.9%2026-09-08 23:40
BetOpenly◎1.49I 67.11%NM 65.35%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.65%2.7%2026-09-08 23:24