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Milwaukee Brewers v Chicago Cubs
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Milwaukee Brewers (Local)
Predicción 64.34%1.55momio equitativo
EV -1.55%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -2.93%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.41%64.49%64.24%66.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.471.481.5371.43%67.86%67.57%65.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Chicago Cubs (Visitante)
Predicción 35.66%2.80momio equitativo
EV +0.192%
Ventaja +0.068%
Kelly +0.106%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.65%35.51%35.76%36.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.552.702.702.8139.22%37.02%37.04%35.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 64.34%; Chicago Cubs (Visitante): 35.66%. Para Chicago Cubs (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.80. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.81, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.192%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -2.84%E -1.88%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV +0.192%E +0.068%K +0.106%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-09-08 18:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV +0.192%E +0.068%K +0.106%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-08 17:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-08 21:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 23:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 23:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 23:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 23:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 23:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 23:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 23:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 23:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 23:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 23:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.99%E -5.59%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-08 23:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.63%E -6.08%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 22:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -1.59%E -0.576%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-08 22:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.95%E -0.708%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-08 22:43 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -6.06%E -4.15%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -1.95%E -0.708%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-08 22:43 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.99%E -5.59%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -1.95%E -0.708%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 23:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.99%E -5.59%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -1.95%E -0.708%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 23:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17%EV -1.55%E -1.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83%EV -2.30%E -0.841%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-08 23:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -2.20%E -1.45%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -3.02%E -1.11%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-08 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -2.20%E -1.45%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -3.02%E -1.11%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-08 22:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -6.06%E -4.15%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -3.02%E -1.11%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 18:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.07%EV -2.20%E -1.45%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.93%EV -3.37%E -1.24%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-08 22:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -1.55%E -1.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-08 22:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-08 23:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-08 23:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-08 23:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-08 23:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-08 22:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-08 22:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-08 22:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.70%E -4.62%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 22:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.70%E -4.62%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 22:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 23:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -2.20%E -1.45%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -4.09%E -1.52%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-08 23:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -4.44%E -1.66%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-08 21:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.13%E -2.77%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -4.44%E -1.66%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-08 23:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.80%E -1.80%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 23:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-08 22:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 23:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 23:33 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 21:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 23:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-08 22:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-08 22:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-08 22:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -6.23%E -2.37%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 23:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-08 22:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-08 22:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 23:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 23:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 22:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 22:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 23:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-08 23:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-08 23:33 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.70%E -4.62%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 23:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.70%E -4.62%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 23:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.70%E -4.62%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -9.08%E -3.56%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-08 23:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 0.5% | 2026-09-08 23:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 0.5% | 2026-09-08 23:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-09-08 23:29 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96% | 0.7% | 2026-09-08 23:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96% | 0.7% | 2026-09-08 23:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96% | 0.7% | 2026-09-08 23:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-09-08 22:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-09-08 23:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83% | 1.9% | 2026-09-08 23:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.35% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.65% | 2.7% | 2026-09-08 23:24 |