مدرسة الاحتمالاتodds.school
النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)
+ نموذج جديدجميع النماذج

Milwaukee Brewers v Chicago Cubs

البداية: 2026-09-08 23:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Milwaukee Brewers 4–3 Chicago Cubs

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Milwaukee Brewers (المضيف)

التنبؤ 64.34%1.55السعر العادل
EV -1.55%
الأفضلية -1.02%
Kelly -2.93%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.53

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
63.41%64.49%64.24%66.35%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.401.471.481.5371.43%67.86%67.57%65.36%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Chicago Cubs (الضيف)

التنبؤ 35.66%2.80السعر العادل
EV +0.192%
الأفضلية +0.068%
Kelly +0.106%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.81

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
33.65%35.51%35.76%36.59%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.552.702.702.8139.22%37.02%37.04%35.59%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

وفق آخر الأسعار قبل البداية، قدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ احتمالات سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩ كالآتي: ⁨Milwaukee Brewers (المضيف)⁩: ⁨64.34%⁩؛ ⁨Chicago Cubs (الضيف)⁩: ⁨35.66%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨Chicago Cubs (الضيف)⁩، كان هذا التقدير يعادل سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨2.80⁩. عرضت شركتا مراهنات (2) سعري إغلاق أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وكان أفضل سعر ⁨2.81⁩، بما يقابل قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+0.192%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -2.84%E -1.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV +0.192%E +0.068%K +0.106%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-08 18:34
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV +0.192%E +0.068%K +0.106%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-08 17:55
Fanatics🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-08 21:54
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 23:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 23:39
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 23:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 23:39
Unibet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 23:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 23:39
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 23:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 23:39
Bally Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 23:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 23:39
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.99%E -5.59%K -18.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 23:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.63%E -6.08%K -20.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 22:44
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -1.59%E -0.576%K -0.904%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-08 22:44
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.95%E -0.708%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-08 22:43
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -6.06%E -4.15%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -1.95%E -0.708%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-08 22:43
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.99%E -5.59%K -18.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -1.95%E -0.708%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 23:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.99%E -5.59%K -18.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -1.95%E -0.708%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 23:39
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17%EV -1.55%E -1.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83%EV -2.30%E -0.841%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-08 23:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -2.20%E -1.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -3.02%E -1.11%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-08 22:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -2.20%E -1.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -3.02%E -1.11%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-08 22:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -6.06%E -4.15%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -3.02%E -1.11%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 18:29
GTbets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.07%EV -2.20%E -1.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.93%EV -3.37%E -1.24%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-08 22:20
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -1.55%E -1.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-08 22:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-08 23:34
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-08 23:35
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-08 21:55
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-08 23:39
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 23:34
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 22:04
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 22:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 22:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.70%E -4.62%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 22:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.70%E -4.62%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 22:44
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-08 23:39
BetUS🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -2.20%E -1.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -4.09%E -1.52%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-08 23:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -4.44%E -1.66%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-08 21:10
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.13%E -2.77%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -4.44%E -1.66%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 23:14
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.80%E -1.80%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 23:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 22:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 23:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 23:33
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 21:55
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 21:54
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 23:39
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 22:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 22:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 22:44
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -6.23%E -2.37%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 23:34
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 22:10
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-08 22:44
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 23:29
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 23:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 22:05
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 22:05
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 23:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 23:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 23:33
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.70%E -4.62%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 23:30
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.70%E -4.62%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 23:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.70%E -4.62%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -9.08%E -3.56%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-08 23:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Novig◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-09-08 23:40
Matchbook◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-09-08 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-09-08 23:29
ProphetX◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%0.7%2026-09-08 23:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%0.7%2026-09-08 23:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%0.7%2026-09-08 23:40
Polymarket◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-09-08 22:00
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-09-08 23:39
Smarkets◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83%1.9%2026-09-08 23:40
BetOpenly◎1.49I 67.11%NM 65.35%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.65%2.7%2026-09-08 23:24