Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers v Chicago Cubs

Início: 2026-09-08 23:41 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 4–3 Chicago Cubs

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Previsão 64.34%1.55odd justa
EV -1.55%
Vantagem -1.02%
Kelly -2.93%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
63.41%64.49%64.24%66.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.471.481.5371.43%67.86%67.57%65.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Previsão 35.66%2.80odd justa
EV +0.192%
Vantagem +0.068%
Kelly +0.106%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.65%35.51%35.76%36.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.552.702.702.8139.22%37.02%37.04%35.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 64.34%; Chicago Cubs (Visitante): 35.66%. Para Chicago Cubs (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.80. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.81, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.192%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -2.84%E -1.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV +0.192%E +0.068%K +0.106%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-08 18:34
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV +0.192%E +0.068%K +0.106%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-08 17:55
Fanatics🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-08 21:54
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 23:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 23:39
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 23:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 23:39
Unibet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 23:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 23:39
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 23:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 23:39
Bally Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 23:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 23:39
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.99%E -5.59%K -18.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 23:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.63%E -6.08%K -20.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -0.164%E -0.059%K -0.091%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 22:44
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -1.59%E -0.576%K -0.904%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-08 22:44
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.95%E -0.708%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-08 22:43
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -6.06%E -4.15%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -1.95%E -0.708%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-08 22:43
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.99%E -5.59%K -18.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -1.95%E -0.708%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 23:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.99%E -5.59%K -18.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -1.95%E -0.708%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 23:39
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17%EV -1.55%E -1.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83%EV -2.30%E -0.841%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-08 23:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -2.20%E -1.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -3.02%E -1.11%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-08 22:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -2.20%E -1.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -3.02%E -1.11%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-08 22:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -6.06%E -4.15%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -3.02%E -1.11%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 18:29
GTbets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.07%EV -2.20%E -1.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.93%EV -3.37%E -1.24%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-08 22:20
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -1.55%E -1.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-08 22:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-08 23:34
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-08 23:35
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-08 21:55
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-08 23:39
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 23:34
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 22:04
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 22:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 22:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.70%E -4.62%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 22:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.70%E -4.62%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 22:44
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-08 23:39
BetUS🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -2.20%E -1.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -4.09%E -1.52%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-08 23:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -4.44%E -1.66%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-08 21:10
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.13%E -2.77%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -4.44%E -1.66%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 23:14
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.80%E -1.80%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 23:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 22:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 23:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 23:33
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 21:55
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 21:54
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 23:39
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 22:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 22:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 22:44
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -6.23%E -2.37%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 23:34
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 22:10
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-08 22:44
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 23:29
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 23:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 22:05
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 22:05
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.48%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 23:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 23:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 23:33
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.70%E -4.62%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 23:30
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.70%E -4.62%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 23:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.70%E -4.62%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -9.08%E -3.56%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-08 23:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-09-08 23:40
Matchbook◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-09-08 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-09-08 23:29
ProphetX◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%0.7%2026-09-08 23:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%0.7%2026-09-08 23:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%0.7%2026-09-08 23:40
Polymarket◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-09-08 22:00
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-09-08 23:39
Smarkets◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83%1.9%2026-09-08 23:40
BetOpenly◎1.49I 67.11%NM 65.35%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.65%2.7%2026-09-08 23:24