Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Marlins v Texas Rangers

Kickoff: 2026-06-23 22:41 UTC

Final: Miami Marlins 6–4 Texas Rangers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Prediction 59.04%1.69fair odd
EV +0.372%
Edge +0.219%
Kelly +0.531%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.44%59.16%59.07%61.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.611.611.7066.67%62.30%62.11%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas Rangers (Visit)

Prediction 40.96%2.44fair odd
EV +0.346%
Edge +0.141%
Kelly +0.239%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.60%40.84%40.93%42.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.332.342.4545.45%42.97%42.74%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Marlins (Local): 59.04%; Texas Rangers (Visit): 40.96%. For Miami Marlins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.69. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.372%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV +0.372%E +0.219%K +0.531%G +0.002%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-23 22:40
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -1.40%E -0.838%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -2.93%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-23 22:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -1.40%E -0.838%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-23 22:40
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%EV -1.99%E -1.20%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%EV -1.70%E -0.709%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-23 22:30
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.99%E -1.20%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.11%E -0.883%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-23 22:20
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -1.99%E -1.20%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-23 22:40
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.58%E -1.56%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.70%E -0.709%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-23 22:00
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.58%E -1.56%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-23 22:40
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -3.17%E -1.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -1.70%E -0.709%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-23 22:40
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.17%E -1.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.98%E -2.15%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 22:40
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -3.17%E -1.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -7.03%E -3.10%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 22:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-23 22:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 22:40
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 22:00
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 22:00
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 21:59
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -4.16%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-23 22:30
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 22:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 22:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 22:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 19:40
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 22:00
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 22:40
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -7.44%E -3.29%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-23 22:40
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-23 22:40
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.93%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.93%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 22:00
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 22:00
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.16%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 19:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.98%E -2.15%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 22:20
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-23 22:40
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 21:00
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 22:39
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-23 22:30
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-23 22:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-23 05:20
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-23 22:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.12%E -3.85%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.70%E -0.709%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 21:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 22:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -8.25%E -3.69%K -6.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-23 22:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.70%E -0.709%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:40
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.70%E -0.709%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:40
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.52%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-23 21:59
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -4.98%E -2.15%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 22:40
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-23 22:40
NordicBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.67%EV -6.21%E -2.71%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-23 22:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.70%E -0.709%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 22:40
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-23 22:40
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-23 22:40
LeoVegas🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-23 22:40
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -8.48%E -5.47%K -15.43%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -4.16%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-23 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.48%E -5.47%K -15.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-23 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -9.07%E -5.89%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV +0.346%E +0.141%K +0.239%G +0.001%5.8%2026-06-23 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -11.44%E -7.62%K -22.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 59.18%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.82%-0.0%2026-06-23 22:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-06-23 22:40
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-06-23 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-06-23 22:40
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-06-23 20:10
ProphetX1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-06-23 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-06-23 22:40
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-06-23 22:40
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%7.3%2026-06-23 22:40
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 58.47%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.53%12.5%2026-06-23 22:40