A Escola das Odds

Miami Marlins v Texas Rangers

Início: 2026-06-23 22:41 UTC

Final: Miami Marlins 6–4 Texas Rangers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Previsão 59.04%1.69odd justa
EV +0.372%
Vantagem +0.219%
Kelly +0.531%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.44%59.16%59.07%61.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.501.611.611.7066.67%62.30%62.11%58.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Texas Rangers (Visitante)

Previsão 40.96%2.44odd justa
EV +0.346%
Vantagem +0.141%
Kelly +0.239%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.60%40.84%40.93%42.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.332.342.4545.45%42.97%42.74%40.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV +0.372%E +0.219%K +0.531%G +0.002%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-23 22:40
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -1.40%E -0.838%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -2.93%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-23 22:39
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -1.40%E -0.838%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-23 22:40
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%EV -1.99%E -1.20%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%EV -1.70%E -0.709%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-23 22:30
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.99%E -1.20%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.11%E -0.883%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-23 22:20
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -1.99%E -1.20%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-23 22:40
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.58%E -1.56%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.70%E -0.709%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-23 22:00
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.58%E -1.56%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-23 22:40
BetAnything1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -3.17%E -1.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -1.70%E -0.709%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-23 22:40
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.17%E -1.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.98%E -2.15%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 22:40
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -3.17%E -1.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -7.03%E -3.10%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 22:40
MyBookie.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-23 22:10
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 22:40
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 22:00
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 22:00
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 21:59
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -4.16%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-23 22:30
888sport1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 22:20
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 22:20
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 22:20
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 19:40
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 22:00
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 22:40
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -7.44%E -3.29%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-23 22:40
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-23 22:40
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.93%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.93%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 22:00
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 22:00
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.16%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 19:40
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.98%E -2.15%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 22:20
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-23 22:40
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 21:00
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 22:39
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 22:40
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-23 22:30
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-23 22:40
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-23 05:20
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-23 22:40
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.12%E -3.85%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.70%E -0.709%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 21:00
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 22:40
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 22:40
Betclic (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -8.25%E -3.69%K -6.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-23 22:20
Unibet (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.70%E -0.709%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:40
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.70%E -0.709%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:40
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.52%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-23 21:59
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -4.98%E -2.15%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 22:40
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-23 22:40
NordicBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.67%EV -6.21%E -2.71%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-23 22:40
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.70%E -0.709%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 22:40
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-23 22:40
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-23 22:40
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-23 22:40
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -8.48%E -5.47%K -15.43%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -4.16%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-23 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.48%E -5.47%K -15.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-23 22:40
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -9.07%E -5.89%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV +0.346%E +0.141%K +0.239%G +0.001%5.8%2026-06-23 22:40
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -11.44%E -7.62%K -22.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 59.18%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.82%-0.0%2026-06-23 22:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-06-23 22:40
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-06-23 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-06-23 22:40
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-06-23 20:10
ProphetX1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-06-23 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-06-23 22:40
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-06-23 22:40
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%7.3%2026-06-23 22:40
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 58.47%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.53%12.5%2026-06-23 22:40