L’École des cotes

Miami Marlins v Texas Rangers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-23 22:41 UTC

Score final : Miami Marlins 6–4 Texas Rangers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Prévision 59.04%1.69cote équitable
EV +0.372%
Avantage +0.219%
Kelly +0.531%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.44%59.16%59.07%61.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.611.611.7066.67%62.30%62.11%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Texas Rangers (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.96%2.44cote équitable
EV +0.346%
Avantage +0.141%
Kelly +0.239%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.60%40.84%40.93%42.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.332.342.4545.45%42.97%42.74%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV +0.372%E +0.219%K +0.531%G +0.002%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-23 22:40
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -1.40%E -0.838%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -2.93%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-23 22:39
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -1.40%E -0.838%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-23 22:40
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%EV -1.99%E -1.20%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%EV -1.70%E -0.709%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-23 22:30
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.99%E -1.20%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.11%E -0.883%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-23 22:20
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -1.99%E -1.20%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-23 22:40
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.58%E -1.56%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.70%E -0.709%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-23 22:00
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.58%E -1.56%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-23 22:40
BetAnything1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -3.17%E -1.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -1.70%E -0.709%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-23 22:40
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.17%E -1.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.98%E -2.15%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 22:40
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -3.17%E -1.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -7.03%E -3.10%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 22:40
MyBookie.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-23 22:10
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 22:40
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 22:00
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 22:00
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 21:59
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -4.16%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-23 22:30
888sport1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 22:20
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 22:20
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 22:20
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 19:40
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 22:00
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 22:40
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -7.44%E -3.29%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-23 22:40
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-23 22:40
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.93%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.93%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 22:00
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 22:00
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.16%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 19:40
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.98%E -2.15%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 22:20
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-23 22:40
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 21:00
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 22:39
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 22:40
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-23 22:30
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-23 22:40
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-23 05:20
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-23 22:40
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.12%E -3.85%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.70%E -0.709%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 21:00
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 22:40
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 22:40
Betclic (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -8.25%E -3.69%K -6.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-23 22:20
Unibet (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.70%E -0.709%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:40
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.70%E -0.709%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:40
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.52%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-23 21:59
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -4.98%E -2.15%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 22:40
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-23 22:40
NordicBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.67%EV -6.21%E -2.71%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-23 22:40
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.70%E -0.709%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 22:40
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-23 22:40
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-23 22:40
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-23 22:40
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -8.48%E -5.47%K -15.43%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -4.16%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-23 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.48%E -5.47%K -15.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-23 22:40
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -9.07%E -5.89%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV +0.346%E +0.141%K +0.239%G +0.001%5.8%2026-06-23 22:40
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -11.44%E -7.62%K -22.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 59.18%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.82%-0.0%2026-06-23 22:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-06-23 22:40
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-06-23 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-06-23 22:40
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-06-23 20:10
ProphetX1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-06-23 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-06-23 22:40
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-06-23 22:40
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%7.3%2026-06-23 22:40
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 58.47%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.53%12.5%2026-06-23 22:40