Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Marlins v Texas Rangers

Inicio: 2026-06-23 22:41 UTC

Final: Miami Marlins 6–4 Texas Rangers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Predicción 59.04%1.69momio equitativo
EV +0.372%
Ventaja +0.219%
Kelly +0.531%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.44%59.16%59.07%61.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.611.611.7066.67%62.30%62.11%58.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Texas Rangers (Visitante)

Predicción 40.96%2.44momio equitativo
EV +0.346%
Ventaja +0.141%
Kelly +0.239%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.60%40.84%40.93%42.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.332.342.4545.45%42.97%42.74%40.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Miami Marlins (Local): 59.04%; Texas Rangers (Visitante): 40.96%. Para Miami Marlins (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.69. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.70, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.372%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV +0.372%E +0.219%K +0.531%G +0.002%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-23 22:40
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -1.40%E -0.838%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -2.93%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-23 22:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -1.40%E -0.838%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-23 22:40
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%EV -1.99%E -1.20%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%EV -1.70%E -0.709%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-23 22:30
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.99%E -1.20%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.11%E -0.883%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-23 22:20
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -1.99%E -1.20%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-23 22:40
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.58%E -1.56%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.70%E -0.709%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-23 22:00
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.58%E -1.56%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-23 22:40
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -3.17%E -1.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -1.70%E -0.709%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-23 22:40
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.17%E -1.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.98%E -2.15%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 22:40
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -3.17%E -1.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -7.03%E -3.10%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 22:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-23 22:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -3.76%E -2.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -9.89%E -4.50%K -8.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 22:40
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 22:00
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 22:00
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 21:59
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -4.16%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-23 22:30
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 22:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 22:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 22:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 19:40
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 22:00
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 22:40
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -7.44%E -3.29%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-23 22:40
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-23 22:40
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.93%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.93%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 22:00
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 22:00
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.16%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 19:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.98%E -2.15%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 22:20
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-23 22:40
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 21:00
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 22:39
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-23 22:30
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-23 22:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-23 05:20
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-23 22:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.12%E -3.85%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.70%E -0.709%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 21:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 22:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -6.71%E -4.25%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -8.25%E -3.69%K -6.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-23 22:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.70%E -0.709%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:40
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.70%E -0.709%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 22:40
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.52%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-23 21:59
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -4.98%E -2.15%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 22:40
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-23 22:40
NordicBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.67%EV -6.21%E -2.71%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-23 22:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.70%E -0.709%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 22:40
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-23 22:40
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-23 22:40
LeoVegas🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -6.62%E -2.90%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-23 22:40
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -8.48%E -5.47%K -15.43%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -4.16%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-23 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.48%E -5.47%K -15.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-23 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -9.07%E -5.89%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV +0.346%E +0.141%K +0.239%G +0.001%5.8%2026-06-23 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -11.44%E -7.62%K -22.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 59.18%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.82%-0.0%2026-06-23 22:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-06-23 22:40
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-06-23 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-06-23 22:40
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-06-23 20:10
ProphetX1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-06-23 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-06-23 22:40
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-06-23 22:40
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%7.3%2026-06-23 22:40
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 58.47%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.53%12.5%2026-06-23 22:40