Language:English
Miami Marlins v Pittsburgh Pirates
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Miami Marlins (Local)
Prediction 46.74%2.14fair odd
EV -0.904%
Edge -0.426%
Kelly -0.807%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.95%46.95%46.75%49.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.012.042.1254.05%49.66%49.02%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)
Prediction 53.26%1.88fair odd
EV +0.655%
Edge +0.346%
Kelly +0.736%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 1.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.41%53.05%53.25%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.821.801.8957.80%55.03%55.56%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Marlins (Local): 46.74%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 53.26%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.89, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.655%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV +0.655%E +0.346%K +0.736%G +0.005% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV +0.655%E +0.346%K +0.736%G +0.005% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV +0.655%E +0.346%K +0.736%G +0.005% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV +0.655%E +0.346%K +0.736%G +0.005% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -4.64%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV +0.122%E +0.065%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +0.122%E +0.065%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +0.122%E +0.065%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +0.122%E +0.065%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +0.122%E +0.065%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +0.122%E +0.065%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +0.122%E +0.065%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -10.25%E -5.34%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +0.122%E +0.065%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -0.410%E -0.219%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-13 16:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -3.24%E -1.57%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -0.943%E -0.507%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-13 16:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -11.19%E -5.89%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -0.943%E -0.507%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -11.19%E -5.89%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -0.943%E -0.507%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.77%E -1.33%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.48%E -0.798%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-13 17:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.48%E -0.798%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-13 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.58%EV -1.37%E -0.650%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.42%EV -2.01%E -1.09%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-13 14:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -6.98%E -3.51%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -2.01%E -1.09%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.37%E -0.650%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.54%E -1.39%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.84%E -0.876%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.54%E -1.39%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-12 19:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.84%E -0.876%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.54%E -1.39%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-12 20:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.71%E -1.80%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.54%E -1.39%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-13 16:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.904%E -0.426%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.07%E -1.69%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.37%E -0.650%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.07%E -1.69%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.37%E -0.650%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.07%E -1.69%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -13.52%E -7.31%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -3.07%E -1.69%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.61%E -1.99%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-13 16:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.24%E -1.57%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-13 15:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-12 19:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-12 19:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 15:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 17:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 14:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 14:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 09:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.64%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-13 10:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 19:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 19:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 15:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.92%E -4.02%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-13 14:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.85%E -4.54%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 17:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.85%E -4.54%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 16:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.85%E -4.54%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 16:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.11%E -2.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.67%E -2.61%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 17:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.20%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 23:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.64%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.20%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.45%E -3.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.20%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 16:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 16:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-13 16:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.24%E -1.57%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.27%E -3.56%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.24%E -1.57%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.27%E -3.56%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.27%E -3.56%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 19:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.80%E -3.89%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.80%E -3.89%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.80%E -3.89%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 18:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.45%E -3.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.33%E -4.21%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-13 16:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.87%E -4.55%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-13 14:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 0.4% | 2026-08-13 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 0.4% | 2026-08-13 17:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75% | 0.6% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 0.9% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 0.9% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-08-13 13:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-08-13 14:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.09I 47.85%NM 47.36% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64% | 1.0% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69% | 2.6% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |