Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Miami Marlins v Pittsburgh Pirates

Inizio: 2026-08-13 17:11 UTC

Finale: Miami Marlins 1–13 Pittsburgh Pirates

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Miami Marlins (Casa)

Previsione 46.74%2.14quota equa
EV -0.904%
Vantaggio -0.426%
Kelly -0.807%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.12

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.95%46.95%46.75%49.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.852.012.042.1254.05%49.66%49.02%47.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Trasferta)

Previsione 53.26%1.88quota equa
EV +0.655%
Vantaggio +0.346%
Kelly +0.736%
Crescita +0.005%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.89

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.41%53.05%53.25%54.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.731.821.801.8957.80%55.03%55.56%52.91%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Miami Marlins (Casa): 46.74%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Trasferta): 53.26%. Per Pittsburgh Pirates (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.88. 12 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 1.89, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.655%.

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV +0.655%E +0.346%K +0.736%G +0.005%4.7%2026-08-13 17:09
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV +0.655%E +0.346%K +0.736%G +0.005%4.7%2026-08-13 17:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV +0.655%E +0.346%K +0.736%G +0.005%4.7%2026-08-13 17:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV +0.655%E +0.346%K +0.736%G +0.005%4.7%2026-08-13 17:09
BetUS🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -4.64%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV +0.122%E +0.065%K +0.139%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-13 17:09
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +0.122%E +0.065%K +0.139%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 17:09
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +0.122%E +0.065%K +0.139%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 17:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +0.122%E +0.065%K +0.139%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 17:09
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +0.122%E +0.065%K +0.139%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 17:09
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +0.122%E +0.065%K +0.139%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 17:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +0.122%E +0.065%K +0.139%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 17:09
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -10.25%E -5.34%K -11.14%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +0.122%E +0.065%K +0.139%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 17:09
theScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -0.410%E -0.219%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-13 16:59
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -3.24%E -1.57%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -0.943%E -0.507%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-13 16:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -11.19%E -5.89%K -12.43%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -0.943%E -0.507%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 17:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -11.19%E -5.89%K -12.43%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -0.943%E -0.507%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 17:09
FanDuel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.77%E -1.33%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.48%E -0.798%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-13 17:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.48%E -0.798%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-13 17:00
DraftKings🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.58%EV -1.37%E -0.650%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.42%EV -2.01%E -1.09%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-13 14:14
Bovada🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -6.98%E -3.51%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -2.01%E -1.09%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 17:09
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.37%E -0.650%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.54%E -1.39%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-13 17:09
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.84%E -0.876%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.54%E -1.39%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 19:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.84%E -0.876%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.54%E -1.39%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 20:09
BetAnything🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.71%E -1.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.54%E -1.39%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-13 16:59
GTbets🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.904%E -0.426%K -0.807%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.07%E -1.69%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-13 17:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.37%E -0.650%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.07%E -1.69%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-13 17:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.37%E -0.650%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.07%E -1.69%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-13 17:09
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -13.52%E -7.31%K -15.91%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -3.07%E -1.69%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-13 17:09
MyBookie.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.61%E -1.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-13 16:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.24%E -1.57%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-13 15:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 19:14
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 19:14
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 15:10
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 17:04
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 14:15
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 14:05
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 09:45
Bet Right🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.64%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 10:45
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 19:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 19:14
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 15:59
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 17:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 17:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.92%E -4.02%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-13 14:39
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.85%E -4.54%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 17:05
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.85%E -4.54%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 16:59
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.85%E -4.54%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 16:59
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.11%E -2.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.67%E -2.61%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 17:04
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.20%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 23:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.64%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.20%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 17:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.45%E -3.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.20%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-13 17:09
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 16:55
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 16:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-13 16:59
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.24%E -1.57%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.27%E -3.56%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 17:09
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.24%E -1.57%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.27%E -3.56%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 17:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.27%E -3.56%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 19:14
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.80%E -3.89%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.80%E -3.89%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.80%E -3.89%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 18:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.45%E -3.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.33%E -4.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-13 16:44
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.87%E -4.55%K -10.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-13 14:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-08-13 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-08-13 17:05
Novig◎2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%0.6%2026-08-13 17:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-08-13 17:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-08-13 17:09
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-08-13 13:50
Polymarket◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-08-13 14:10
BetOpenly◎2.09I 47.85%NM 47.36%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64%1.0%2026-08-13 17:09
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.6%2026-08-13 17:09