语言:简体中文
Miami Marlins v Pittsburgh Pirates
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Miami Marlins (主队)
预测 46.74%2.14公平赔率
EV -0.904%
优势 -0.426%
Kelly -0.807%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.12
博彩公司预测分布
45.95%46.95%46.75%49.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.852.012.042.1254.05%49.66%49.02%47.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
Pittsburgh Pirates (客队)
预测 53.26%1.88公平赔率
EV +0.655%
优势 +0.346%
Kelly +0.736%
增长率 +0.005%
假设最高赔率为 1.89
博彩公司预测分布
50.41%53.05%53.25%54.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.731.821.801.8957.80%55.03%55.56%52.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Miami Marlins (主队)：46.74%；Pittsburgh Pirates (客队)：53.26%。 对于“Pittsburgh Pirates (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.88。 当时有12家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.89，对应+0.655%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV +0.655%E +0.346%K +0.736%G +0.005% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV +0.655%E +0.346%K +0.736%G +0.005% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV +0.655%E +0.346%K +0.736%G +0.005% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV +0.655%E +0.346%K +0.736%G +0.005% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -4.64%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV +0.122%E +0.065%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +0.122%E +0.065%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +0.122%E +0.065%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +0.122%E +0.065%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +0.122%E +0.065%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +0.122%E +0.065%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +0.122%E +0.065%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -10.25%E -5.34%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +0.122%E +0.065%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -0.410%E -0.219%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-13 16:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -3.24%E -1.57%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -0.943%E -0.507%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-13 16:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -11.19%E -5.89%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -0.943%E -0.507%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -11.19%E -5.89%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -0.943%E -0.507%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.77%E -1.33%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.48%E -0.798%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-13 17:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.48%E -0.798%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-13 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.58%EV -1.37%E -0.650%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.42%EV -2.01%E -1.09%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-13 14:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -6.98%E -3.51%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -2.01%E -1.09%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.37%E -0.650%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.54%E -1.39%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.84%E -0.876%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.54%E -1.39%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-12 19:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.84%E -0.876%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.54%E -1.39%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-12 20:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.71%E -1.80%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.54%E -1.39%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-13 16:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.904%E -0.426%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.07%E -1.69%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.37%E -0.650%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.07%E -1.69%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.37%E -0.650%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.07%E -1.69%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -13.52%E -7.31%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -3.07%E -1.69%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.61%E -1.99%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-13 16:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.24%E -1.57%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-13 15:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-12 19:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-12 19:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 15:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 17:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 14:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 14:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 09:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.64%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-13 10:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 19:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 19:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 15:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.92%E -4.02%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-13 14:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.85%E -4.54%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 17:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.85%E -4.54%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 16:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.85%E -4.54%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 16:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.11%E -2.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.67%E -2.61%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 17:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.20%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 23:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.64%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.20%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.45%E -3.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.20%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 16:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 16:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-13 16:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.24%E -1.57%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.27%E -3.56%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.24%E -1.57%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.27%E -3.56%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.27%E -3.56%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 19:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.80%E -3.89%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.80%E -3.89%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.80%E -3.89%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 18:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.45%E -3.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.33%E -4.21%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-13 16:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.87%E -4.55%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-13 14:14 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (9)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 0.4% | 2026-08-13 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 0.4% | 2026-08-13 17:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75% | 0.6% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 0.9% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 0.9% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-08-13 13:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-08-13 14:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.09I 47.85%NM 47.36% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64% | 1.0% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69% | 2.6% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |