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Miami Marlins v Pittsburgh Pirates
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Miami Marlins (Хозяева)
Прогноз 46.74%2.14справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.904%
Преимущество -0.426%
Kelly -0.807%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.12
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
45.95%46.95%46.75%49.59%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.852.012.042.1254.05%49.66%49.02%47.17%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Pittsburgh Pirates (Гости)
Прогноз 53.26%1.88справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.655%
Преимущество +0.346%
Kelly +0.736%
Рост +0.005%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.89
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
50.41%53.05%53.25%54.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.731.821.801.8957.80%55.03%55.56%52.91%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Miami Marlins (Хозяева): 46.74%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Гости): 53.26%. Для исхода «Pittsburgh Pirates (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 1.88. 12 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 1.89, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +0.655%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (63 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV +0.655%E +0.346%K +0.736%G +0.005% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV +0.655%E +0.346%K +0.736%G +0.005% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV +0.655%E +0.346%K +0.736%G +0.005% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV +0.655%E +0.346%K +0.736%G +0.005% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -4.64%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV +0.122%E +0.065%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +0.122%E +0.065%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +0.122%E +0.065%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +0.122%E +0.065%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +0.122%E +0.065%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +0.122%E +0.065%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -9.78%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +0.122%E +0.065%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -10.25%E -5.34%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +0.122%E +0.065%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -0.410%E -0.219%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-13 16:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -3.24%E -1.57%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -0.943%E -0.507%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-13 16:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -11.19%E -5.89%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -0.943%E -0.507%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -11.19%E -5.89%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -0.943%E -0.507%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.77%E -1.33%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.48%E -0.798%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-13 17:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.48%E -0.798%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-13 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.58%EV -1.37%E -0.650%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.42%EV -2.01%E -1.09%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-13 14:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -6.98%E -3.51%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -2.01%E -1.09%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.37%E -0.650%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.54%E -1.39%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.84%E -0.876%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.54%E -1.39%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-12 19:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.84%E -0.876%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.54%E -1.39%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-12 20:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.71%E -1.80%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.54%E -1.39%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-13 16:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.904%E -0.426%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.07%E -1.69%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.37%E -0.650%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.07%E -1.69%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.37%E -0.650%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.07%E -1.69%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -13.52%E -7.31%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -3.07%E -1.69%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.61%E -1.99%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-13 16:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.24%E -1.57%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-13 15:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-12 19:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-12 19:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 15:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 17:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 14:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 14:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 09:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.64%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-13 10:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 19:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 19:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 15:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.92%E -4.02%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-13 14:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.85%E -4.54%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 17:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.85%E -4.54%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 16:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.85%E -4.54%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 16:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.11%E -2.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.67%E -2.61%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 17:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.20%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 23:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.64%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.20%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.45%E -3.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.20%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 16:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 16:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-13 16:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.24%E -1.57%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.27%E -3.56%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.24%E -1.57%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.27%E -3.56%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.27%E -3.56%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 19:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.80%E -3.89%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.80%E -3.89%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.80%E -3.89%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 18:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.45%E -3.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.33%E -4.21%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-13 16:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.87%E -4.55%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-13 14:14 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (9)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 0.4% | 2026-08-13 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 0.4% | 2026-08-13 17:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75% | 0.6% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 0.9% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 0.9% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-08-13 13:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-08-13 14:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.09I 47.85%NM 47.36% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64% | 1.0% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69% | 2.6% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |