The School of Odds

Miami Marlins v Cleveland Guardians

2026-07-10 23:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Prediction 51.12%1.96fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -2.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.22%51.06%51.95%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.801.861.861.9156%54%54%52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Cleveland Guardians (Visit)

Prediction 48.88%2.05fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.626%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.05%48.78%48.94%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.881.951.952.0253%51%51%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.36%E -1.23%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.75%E -0.872%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-10 02:20
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.36%E -1.23%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 21:10
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.87%E -1.51%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.13%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 20:45
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.38%E -1.79%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.26%E -0.626%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-10 00:45
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.38%E -1.79%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.26%E -0.626%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-10 00:45
GTbets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.38%E -1.79%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.26%E -0.626%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-10 00:45
BetUS1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.38%E -1.79%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.26%E -0.626%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-10 00:44
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.38%E -1.79%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.26%E -0.626%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-10 01:55
MyBookie.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.89%E -2.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.71%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-10 01:43
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -3.89%E -2.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -4.20%E -2.14%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 01:00
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -3.89%E -2.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -4.20%E -2.14%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 01:00
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -3.89%E -2.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -4.20%E -2.14%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 00:59
TAB1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-10 02:15
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 00:45
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 00:45
Unibet (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 01:40
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 02:29
Bet Right1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 01:55
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 21:44
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 02:14
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 00:45
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 22:19
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 00:45
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 01:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.17%E -2.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 00:45
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.40%E -2.35%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.17%E -2.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 00:45
Betr (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.91%E -2.64%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 01:14
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.91%E -2.64%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 01:00
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.91%E -2.64%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 00:59
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.91%E -2.64%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.17%E -2.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 01:40
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 00:45
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.22%E -1.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 01:50
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 01:39
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 01:39
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 02:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 00:44
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 00:45
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 02:15
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 01:00
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 00:59
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 00:59
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 01:00
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 00:59
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.17%E -2.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 01:00
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.17%E -2.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 00:59
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.66%E -2.93%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 01:40
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.66%E -2.93%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 01:39
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 00:45
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 00:44
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 00:45
SportsBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.94%E -3.23%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.20%E -2.14%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 00:45
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.45%E -3.52%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 01:39
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.45%E -3.52%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -6.15%E -3.20%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 00:59
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.45%E -3.52%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 01:40
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -7.98%E -4.43%K -9.98%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.11%E -4.31%K -9.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-10 01:39
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -7.98%E -4.43%K -9.98%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.11%E -4.31%K -9.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-10 01:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-09 22:05
BetOpenly1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-10 02:20
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-10 01:00
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-10 02:14
ProphetX1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%2.1%2026-07-10 01:55
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%5.9%2026-07-10 02:20
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%8.1%2026-07-10 02:30