Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Marlins v Cleveland Guardians

Kickoff: 2026-07-10 23:11 UTC

Final: Miami Marlins 2–3 Cleveland Guardians

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Prediction 53.17%1.88fair odd
EV -0.578%
Edge -0.309%
Kelly -0.665%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.60%53.10%53.24%54.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.801.801.8757.14%55.41%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visit)

Prediction 46.83%2.14fair odd
EV -0.713%
Edge -0.336%
Kelly -0.637%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.97%46.90%46.76%48.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.032.022.1251.81%49.37%49.50%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -0.578%E -0.309%K -0.665%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-10 22:00
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.64%E -0.887%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-10 22:54
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.64%E -0.887%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 22:00
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.64%E -0.887%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 22:00
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.18%E -0.560%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-10 22:44
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.18%E -0.560%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-10 22:29
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 22:49
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:00
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:00
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:00
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:00
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:00
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:00
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:00
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -8.21%E -4.19%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 22:00
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -8.21%E -4.19%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 22:00
GTbets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.24%E -1.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.713%E -0.336%K -0.637%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-10 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.24%E -1.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.18%E -0.560%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-10 23:00
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.24%E -1.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.18%E -0.560%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-10 23:04
BetAnything1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.24%E -1.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.18%E -0.560%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-10 22:29
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.713%E -0.336%K -0.637%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-10 22:39
FanDuel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.52%E -1.71%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 22:49
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -9.61%E -4.98%K -10.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 19:29
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:29
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:44
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:45
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:44
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:29
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:29
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:29
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:29
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.46%E -2.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 22:59
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 22:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 22:25
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 22:25
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 19:29
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 22:44
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 22:29
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 22:29
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 04:09
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 23:09
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.27%E -3.67%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 23:09
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.67%E -4.45%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 22:20
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.67%E -4.45%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 23:02
MyBookie.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.05%E -1.48%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 22:48
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.46%E -2.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 22:44
SportsBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.93%E -2.43%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 22:49
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:49
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:49
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:49
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 23:00
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.90%E -3.33%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.59%E -1.24%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 23:09
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.90%E -3.33%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:45
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.90%E -3.33%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:59
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.43%E -3.65%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 22:44
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 23:00
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 22:59
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 22:59
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 22:00
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-10 22:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-07-10 23:09
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-07-10 23:09
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-07-10 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-07-10 23:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-07-10 23:09
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-10 22:20
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-10 22:10
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21%1.6%2026-07-10 23:09
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-07-10 23:09
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%4.6%2026-07-10 22:54