L’École des cotes

Miami Marlins v Cleveland Guardians

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-10 23:11 UTC

Score final : Miami Marlins 2–3 Cleveland Guardians

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Prévision 53.17%1.88cote équitable
EV -0.578%
Avantage -0.309%
Kelly -0.665%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.60%53.10%53.24%54.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.801.801.8757.14%55.41%55.56%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cleveland Guardians (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.83%2.14cote équitable
EV -0.713%
Avantage -0.336%
Kelly -0.637%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.97%46.90%46.76%48.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.932.032.022.1251.81%49.37%49.50%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -0.578%E -0.309%K -0.665%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-10 22:00
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.64%E -0.887%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-10 22:54
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.64%E -0.887%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 22:00
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.64%E -0.887%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 22:00
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.18%E -0.560%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-10 22:44
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.18%E -0.560%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-10 22:29
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 22:49
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:00
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:00
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:00
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:00
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:00
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:00
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:00
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -8.21%E -4.19%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 22:00
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -8.21%E -4.19%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 22:00
GTbets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.24%E -1.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.713%E -0.336%K -0.637%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-10 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.24%E -1.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.18%E -0.560%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-10 23:00
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.24%E -1.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.18%E -0.560%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-10 23:04
BetAnything1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.24%E -1.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.18%E -0.560%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-10 22:29
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.713%E -0.336%K -0.637%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-10 22:39
FanDuel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.52%E -1.71%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 22:49
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -9.61%E -4.98%K -10.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 19:29
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:29
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:44
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:45
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:44
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:29
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:29
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:29
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:29
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.46%E -2.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 22:59
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 22:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 22:25
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 22:25
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 19:29
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 22:44
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 22:29
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 22:29
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 04:09
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 23:09
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.27%E -3.67%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 23:09
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.67%E -4.45%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 22:20
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.67%E -4.45%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 23:02
MyBookie.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.05%E -1.48%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 22:48
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.46%E -2.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 22:44
SportsBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.93%E -2.43%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 22:49
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:49
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:49
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:49
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 23:00
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.90%E -3.33%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.59%E -1.24%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 23:09
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.90%E -3.33%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:45
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.90%E -3.33%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:59
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.43%E -3.65%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 22:44
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 23:00
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 22:59
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 22:59
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 22:00
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-10 22:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-07-10 23:09
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-07-10 23:09
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-07-10 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-07-10 23:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-07-10 23:09
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-10 22:20
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-10 22:10
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21%1.6%2026-07-10 23:09
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-07-10 23:09
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%4.6%2026-07-10 22:54