默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Miami Marlins v Cleveland Guardians

开赛时间: 2026-07-10 23:11 UTC

最终结果: Miami Marlins 2–3 Cleveland Guardians

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

63 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Miami Marlins (主队)

预测 53.17%1.88公平赔率
EV -0.578%
优势 -0.309%
Kelly -0.665%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.87

博彩公司预测分布
51.60%53.10%53.24%54.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.751.801.801.8757.14%55.41%55.56%53.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Cleveland Guardians (客队)

预测 46.83%2.14公平赔率
EV -0.713%
优势 -0.336%
Kelly -0.637%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.12

博彩公司预测分布
45.97%46.90%46.76%48.40%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.932.032.022.1251.81%49.37%49.50%47.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Miami Marlins (主队):53.17%;Cleveland Guardians (客队):46.83%。 对于“Miami Marlins (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.88。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为1.87,期望值为-0.578%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -0.578%E -0.309%K -0.665%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-10 22:00
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.64%E -0.887%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-10 22:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.64%E -0.887%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 22:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.64%E -0.887%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 22:00
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.18%E -0.560%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-10 22:44
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.18%E -0.560%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-10 22:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 22:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:00
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:00
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:00
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:00
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:00
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -8.21%E -4.19%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 22:00
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -8.21%E -4.19%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 22:00
GTbets🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.24%E -1.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.713%E -0.336%K -0.637%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-10 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.24%E -1.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.18%E -0.560%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-10 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.24%E -1.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.18%E -0.560%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-10 23:04
BetAnything🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.24%E -1.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.18%E -0.560%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-10 22:29
BetUS🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.713%E -0.336%K -0.637%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-10 22:39
FanDuel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.52%E -1.71%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 22:49
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -9.61%E -4.98%K -10.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 19:29
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:44
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:45
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:44
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:29
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:29
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:29
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.46%E -2.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 22:59
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 22:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 22:25
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 22:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 19:29
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 22:44
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 22:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 22:29
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 04:09
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 23:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.27%E -3.67%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 23:09
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.67%E -4.45%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 22:20
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.67%E -4.45%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 23:02
MyBookie.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.05%E -1.48%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 22:48
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.46%E -2.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 22:44
SportsBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.93%E -2.43%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 22:49
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:49
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 23:00
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.90%E -3.33%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.59%E -1.24%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 23:09
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.90%E -3.33%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:45
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.90%E -3.33%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.43%E -3.65%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 22:44
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 23:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 22:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 22:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 22:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-10 22:44
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-07-10 23:09
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-07-10 23:09
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-07-10 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-07-10 23:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-07-10 23:09
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-10 22:20
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-10 22:10
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21%1.6%2026-07-10 23:09
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-07-10 23:09
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%4.6%2026-07-10 22:54