La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Miami Marlins v Cleveland Guardians
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Miami Marlins (Local)
Predicción 53.17%1.88momio equitativo
EV -0.578%
Ventaja -0.309%
Kelly -0.665%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.60%53.10%53.24%54.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.801.801.8757.14%55.41%55.56%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)
Predicción 46.83%2.14momio equitativo
EV -0.713%
Ventaja -0.336%
Kelly -0.637%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.97%46.90%46.76%48.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.932.032.022.1251.81%49.37%49.50%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -0.578%E -0.309%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-10 22:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.64%E -0.887%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.64%E -0.887%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.64%E -0.887%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 22:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.18%E -0.560%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-10 22:44 |
| Everygame | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.18%E -0.560%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-10 22:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-10 14:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-10 22:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-10 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-10 22:00 |
| Unibet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-10 22:00 |
| Casumo | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-10 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-10 22:00 |
| betPARX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-10 22:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-10 22:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -8.21%E -4.19%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-10 22:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -2.71%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -8.21%E -4.19%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-10 22:00 |
| GTbets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.24%E -1.78%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.713%E -0.336%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.24%E -1.78%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.18%E -0.560%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.24%E -1.78%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.18%E -0.560%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-10 23:04 |
| BetAnything | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.24%E -1.78%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.18%E -0.560%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-10 22:29 |
| BetUS | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.713%E -0.336%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-10 22:39 |
| FanDuel | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.52%E -1.71%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -9.61%E -4.98%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-10 19:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-10 22:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-10 22:44 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-10 22:45 |
| ReBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-10 22:44 |
| Caesars | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-10 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-10 22:29 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-10 22:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-10 22:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-10 22:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.46%E -2.19%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 22:25 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 22:25 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 19:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 22:44 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 22:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 22:29 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 04:09 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 23:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.27%E -3.67%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-10 23:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.67%E -4.45%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-10 22:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.67%E -4.45%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-10 23:02 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.05%E -1.48%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 22:48 |
| DraftKings | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.46%E -2.19%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 22:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.93%E -2.43%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| Betsson | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.40%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-10 22:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.90%E -3.33%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.59%E -1.24%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-10 23:09 |
| Fliff | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.90%E -3.33%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 22:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.90%E -3.33%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.43%E -3.65%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-10 22:44 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-10 23:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-10 22:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-10 22:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-10 22:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 0.5% | 2026-07-10 23:09 |
| ProphetX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 0.8% | 2026-07-10 23:09 |
| Matchbook | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 0.9% | 2026-07-10 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 0.9% | 2026-07-10 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 0.9% | 2026-07-10 23:09 |
| Kalshi | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-07-10 22:20 |
| Polymarket | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-07-10 22:10 |
| Novig | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21% | 1.6% | 2026-07-10 23:09 |
| Smarkets | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 2.1% | 2026-07-10 23:09 |
| BetOpenly | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78% | 4.6% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |