A Escola das Odds

Miami Marlins v Cleveland Guardians

Início: 2026-07-11 20:11 UTC

Final: Miami Marlins 1–4 Cleveland Guardians

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Previsão 58.91%1.70odd justa
EV -1.63%
Vantagem -0.975%
Kelly -2.43%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.85%58.71%58.97%60.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.571.621.621.6763.69%61.64%61.73%59.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Previsão 41.09%2.43odd justa
EV +1.09%
Vantagem +0.444%
Kelly +0.749%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.55%41.29%41.03%43.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.332.332.4645.45%43.01%42.92%40.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV +1.09%E +0.444%K +0.749%G +0.008%2.8%2026-07-11 20:04
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -0.551%E -0.228%K -0.388%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-11 20:04
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.37%E -0.572%K -0.981%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 20:04
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.37%E -0.572%K -0.981%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 20:09
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.37%E -0.572%K -0.981%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 19:29
BetAnything1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -3.40%E -2.07%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -1.37%E -0.572%K -0.981%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-11 20:04
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.37%E -0.572%K -0.981%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 19:44
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -2.22%E -1.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -1.78%E -0.746%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 18:24
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -2.22%E -1.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -1.78%E -0.746%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 20:09
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -3.40%E -2.07%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -2.19%E -0.922%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-11 19:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.75%E -3.59%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.75%E -3.59%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:09
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-11 19:29
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 19:59
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 19:59
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 18:44
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 18:49
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 18:49
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:09
Dabble (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 20:09
FanDuel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.98%E -2.44%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.84%E -1.64%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 18:44
MyBookie.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.98%E -2.44%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.84%E -1.64%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 19:59
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.84%E -1.64%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 19:59
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -3.98%E -2.44%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 19:24
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -3.98%E -2.44%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 19:25
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 19:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 19:25
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 19:24
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 19:25
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 19:25
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 19:24
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 19:40
Bovada1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -3.98%E -2.44%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -4.66%E -2.01%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:09
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.66%E -2.01%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 18:49
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.66%E -2.01%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 18:24
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.66%E -2.01%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 19:25
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.66%E -2.01%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 19:24
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.66%E -2.01%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 19:24
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.66%E -2.01%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 19:24
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.07%E -2.20%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 18:45
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.63%E -0.975%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-11 13:24
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 18:24
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.98%E -2.44%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 18:44
888sport1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 18:34
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 18:39
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 18:35
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 18:35
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 18:29
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 19:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 20:04
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 20:04
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 18:44
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.75%E -3.59%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 19:59
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.75%E -3.59%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 11:49
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -6.30%E -2.76%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 19:24
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.98%E -2.44%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.72%E -2.96%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 19:54
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.98%E -2.44%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.72%E -2.96%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 19:54
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.75%E -3.59%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.54%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 17:45
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.75%E -3.59%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.54%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 18:44
Betclic (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -6.93%E -4.39%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -7.95%E -3.55%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 19:56
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.63%E -0.975%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:09
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.22%E -1.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 20:09
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-07-11 20:09
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%0.2%2026-07-11 20:04
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-07-11 20:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-07-11 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-07-11 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-07-11 20:10
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-11 19:40
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-11 19:09
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.5%2026-07-11 20:10
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%2.3%2026-07-11 19:55