StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Miami Marlins v Cleveland Guardians

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-11 20:11 UTC

Endstand: Miami Marlins 1–4 Cleveland Guardians

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Miami Marlins (Heim)

Prognose 58.91%1.70faire Quote
EV -1.63%
Vorteil -0.975%
Kelly -2.43%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.67

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
56.85%58.71%58.97%60.45%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.571.621.621.6763.69%61.64%61.73%59.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Guardians (Auswärts)

Prognose 41.09%2.43faire Quote
EV +1.09%
Vorteil +0.444%
Kelly +0.749%
Wachstum +0.008%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.46

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
39.55%41.29%41.03%43.15%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.202.332.332.4645.45%43.01%42.92%40.65%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Miami Marlins (Heim): 58.91%; Cleveland Guardians (Auswärts): 41.09%. Für Cleveland Guardians (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.43. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.46 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.09%.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV +1.09%E +0.444%K +0.749%G +0.008%2.8%2026-07-11 20:04
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -0.551%E -0.228%K -0.388%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-11 20:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.37%E -0.572%K -0.981%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 20:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.37%E -0.572%K -0.981%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 20:09
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.37%E -0.572%K -0.981%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 19:29
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -3.40%E -2.07%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -1.37%E -0.572%K -0.981%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-11 20:04
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.37%E -0.572%K -0.981%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 19:44
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -2.22%E -1.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -1.78%E -0.746%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 18:24
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -2.22%E -1.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -1.78%E -0.746%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 20:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -3.40%E -2.07%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -2.19%E -0.922%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-11 19:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.75%E -3.59%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.75%E -3.59%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:09
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-11 19:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 19:59
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 19:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 18:44
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 18:49
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 18:49
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 20:09
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.98%E -2.44%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.84%E -1.64%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 18:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.98%E -2.44%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.84%E -1.64%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 19:59
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.84%E -1.64%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 19:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -3.98%E -2.44%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 19:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -3.98%E -2.44%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 19:25
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 19:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 19:25
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 19:24
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 19:25
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 19:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 19:24
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 19:40
Bovada🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -3.98%E -2.44%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -4.66%E -2.01%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:09
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.66%E -2.01%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 18:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.66%E -2.01%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 18:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.66%E -2.01%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 19:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.66%E -2.01%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 19:24
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.66%E -2.01%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 19:24
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.66%E -2.01%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 19:24
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.07%E -2.20%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 18:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.63%E -0.975%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-11 13:24
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 18:24
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.98%E -2.44%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 18:44
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 18:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 18:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 18:35
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 18:29
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 19:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 20:04
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 20:04
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 18:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.75%E -3.59%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 19:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.75%E -3.59%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 11:49
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -6.30%E -2.76%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 19:24
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.98%E -2.44%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.72%E -2.96%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 19:54
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.98%E -2.44%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.72%E -2.96%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 19:54
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.75%E -3.59%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.54%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 17:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.75%E -3.59%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.54%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 18:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -6.93%E -4.39%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -7.95%E -3.55%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 19:56
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.63%E -0.975%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.22%E -1.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 20:09
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-07-11 20:09
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%0.2%2026-07-11 20:04
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-07-11 20:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-07-11 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-07-11 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-07-11 20:10
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-11 19:40
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-11 19:09
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.5%2026-07-11 20:10
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%2.3%2026-07-11 19:55