La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Miami Marlins v Cleveland Guardians
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Miami Marlins (Local)
Predicción 58.91%1.70momio equitativo
EV -1.63%
Ventaja -0.975%
Kelly -2.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%58.71%58.97%60.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.621.621.6763.69%61.64%61.73%59.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)
Predicción 41.09%2.43momio equitativo
EV +1.09%
Ventaja +0.444%
Kelly +0.749%
Crecimiento +0.008%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.55%41.29%41.03%43.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.332.332.4645.45%43.01%42.92%40.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV +1.09%E +0.444%K +0.749%G +0.008% | 2.8% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| GTbets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -0.551%E -0.228%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.37%E -0.572%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.37%E -0.572%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-11 20:09 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.37%E -0.572%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-11 19:29 |
| BetAnything | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -3.40%E -2.07%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -1.37%E -0.572%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Fliff | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.37%E -0.572%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 19:44 |
| 1xBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -2.22%E -1.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -1.78%E -0.746%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-11 18:24 |
| Pinnacle | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -2.22%E -1.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -1.78%E -0.746%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-11 20:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -3.40%E -2.07%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -2.19%E -0.922%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-11 19:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.75%E -3.59%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.75%E -3.59%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 20:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-11 19:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 19:59 |
| ReBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 19:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 18:44 |
| Caesars | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 18:49 |
| Fanatics | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 18:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 20:09 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 20:09 |
| FanDuel | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.98%E -2.44%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.84%E -1.64%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-11 18:44 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.98%E -2.44%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.84%E -1.64%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-11 19:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.84%E -1.64%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 19:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -3.98%E -2.44%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 19:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -3.98%E -2.44%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 19:25 |
| Casumo | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 19:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 19:25 |
| Unibet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 19:24 |
| betPARX | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 19:25 |
| Bally Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 19:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 19:24 |
| Coolbet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 19:40 |
| Bovada | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -3.98%E -2.44%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -4.66%E -2.01%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 20:09 |
| Bet Right | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.66%E -2.01%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 18:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.66%E -2.01%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 18:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.66%E -2.01%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 19:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.66%E -2.01%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 19:24 |
| TABtouch | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.66%E -2.01%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 19:24 |
| BetRivers | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.66%E -2.01%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 19:24 |
| SportsBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.07%E -2.20%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 18:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.63%E -0.975%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-11 13:24 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-11 18:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.98%E -2.44%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 18:44 |
| 888sport | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 18:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 18:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 18:35 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 18:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 19:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 18:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.75%E -3.59%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 19:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.75%E -3.59%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 11:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -6.30%E -2.76%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-11 19:24 |
| NordicBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.98%E -2.44%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.72%E -2.96%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 19:54 |
| Betsson | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.98%E -2.44%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.72%E -2.96%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 19:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.75%E -3.59%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.54%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-11 17:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.75%E -3.59%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.54%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-11 18:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -6.93%E -4.39%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -7.95%E -3.55%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-11 19:56 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.63%E -0.975%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 20:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.22%E -1.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-11 20:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 0.2% | 2026-07-11 20:09 |
| ProphetX | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 0.2% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Novig | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-07-11 20:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-07-11 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-07-11 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-07-11 20:10 |
| Kalshi | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-11 19:40 |
| Polymarket | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-11 19:09 |
| Matchbook | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03% | 1.5% | 2026-07-11 20:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 2.3% | 2026-07-11 19:55 |