Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Miami Marlins v Cleveland Guardians

Początek: 2026-07-11 20:11 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Miami Marlins 1–4 Cleveland Guardians

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

63 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Miami Marlins (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 58.91%1.70kurs godziwy
EV -1.63%
Przewaga -0.975%
Kelly -2.43%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.67

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
56.85%58.71%58.97%60.45%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.571.621.621.6763.69%61.64%61.73%59.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Cleveland Guardians (Goście)

Prognoza 41.09%2.43kurs godziwy
EV +1.09%
Przewaga +0.444%
Kelly +0.749%
Wzrost +0.008%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.46

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
39.55%41.29%41.03%43.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.202.332.332.4645.45%43.01%42.92%40.65%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Miami Marlins (Gospodarze): 58.91%; Cleveland Guardians (Goście): 41.09%. Dla wyniku Cleveland Guardians (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.43. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.46, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.09%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV +1.09%E +0.444%K +0.749%G +0.008%2.8%2026-07-11 20:04
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -0.551%E -0.228%K -0.388%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-11 20:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.37%E -0.572%K -0.981%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 20:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.37%E -0.572%K -0.981%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 20:09
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.37%E -0.572%K -0.981%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 19:29
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -3.40%E -2.07%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -1.37%E -0.572%K -0.981%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-11 20:04
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.37%E -0.572%K -0.981%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 19:44
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -2.22%E -1.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -1.78%E -0.746%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 18:24
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -2.22%E -1.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -1.78%E -0.746%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 20:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -3.40%E -2.07%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -2.19%E -0.922%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-11 19:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.75%E -3.59%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.75%E -3.59%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:09
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-11 19:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 19:59
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 19:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 18:44
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 18:49
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 18:49
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 20:09
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.98%E -2.44%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.84%E -1.64%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 18:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.98%E -2.44%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.84%E -1.64%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 19:59
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.84%E -1.64%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 19:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -3.98%E -2.44%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 19:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -3.98%E -2.44%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 19:25
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 19:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 19:25
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 19:24
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 19:25
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 19:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 19:24
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.25%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 19:40
Bovada🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -3.98%E -2.44%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -4.66%E -2.01%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 20:09
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.66%E -2.01%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 18:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.66%E -2.01%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 18:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.66%E -2.01%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 19:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.66%E -2.01%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 19:24
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.66%E -2.01%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 19:24
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.66%E -2.01%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 19:24
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.07%E -2.20%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 18:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.63%E -0.975%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-11 13:24
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 18:24
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.98%E -2.44%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 18:44
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 18:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 18:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 18:35
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 18:29
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 19:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 20:04
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 20:04
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 18:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.75%E -3.59%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 19:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.75%E -3.59%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 11:49
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -6.30%E -2.76%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 19:24
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.98%E -2.44%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.72%E -2.96%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 19:54
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.98%E -2.44%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.72%E -2.96%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 19:54
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.75%E -3.59%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.54%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 17:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.75%E -3.59%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.54%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 18:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -6.93%E -4.39%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -7.95%E -3.55%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 19:56
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.63%E -0.975%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.22%E -1.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 20:09
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (10)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-07-11 20:09
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%0.2%2026-07-11 20:04
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-07-11 20:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-07-11 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-07-11 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-07-11 20:10
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-11 19:40
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-11 19:09
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.5%2026-07-11 20:10
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%2.3%2026-07-11 19:55