A Escola das Odds

Miami Marlins v Cincinnati Reds

Início: 2026-04-06 22:41 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Previsão 55.16%1.81odd justa
EV -1.81%
Vantagem -1.02%
Kelly -2.32%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.23%55.32%55.06%57.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.681.731.731.7859.52%57.84%57.80%56.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Previsão 44.84%2.23odd justa
EV +2.67%
Vantagem +1.17%
Kelly +2.07%
Crescimento +0.055%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.71%44.68%44.94%45.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.132.102.2948.78%46.98%47.62%43.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV +2.67%E +1.17%K +2.07%G +0.055%1.8%2026-04-06 22:39
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV +2.22%E +0.976%K +1.74%G +0.039%2.7%2026-04-06 22:39
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV +1.33%E +0.588%K +1.05%G +0.014%1.7%2026-04-06 22:35
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV +1.33%E +0.588%K +1.05%G +0.014%2.4%2026-04-06 22:40
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV +1.33%E +0.588%K +1.05%G +0.014%2.4%2026-04-06 22:40
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -6.77%E -4.01%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -0.466%E -0.210%K -0.382%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 22:40
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -6.77%E -4.01%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -0.466%E -0.210%K -0.382%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 22:35
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.67%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.36%E -0.619%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 22:29
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.67%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.36%E -0.619%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 22:34
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.77%E -4.01%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.36%E -0.619%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 22:39
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.77%E -4.01%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.36%E -0.619%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 22:40
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.32%E -4.36%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.36%E -0.619%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:39
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.81%E -1.02%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.26%E -1.04%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-06 20:05
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.60%E -1.68%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-06 16:20
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.60%E -1.68%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 17:54
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.67%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.60%E -1.68%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:40
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.67%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.60%E -1.68%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:40
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.05%E -1.89%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 22:30
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:30
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:30
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:39
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:40
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 20:05
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.40%E -2.56%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 20:05
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.36%E -1.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 14:25
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.36%E -1.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 16:05
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 16:04
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 16:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 16:05
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 10:04
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 12:05
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 16:25
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 12:05
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 12:05
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 16:24
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 22:30
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 16:25
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.67%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 22:39
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 20:20
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.67%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.29%E -3.01%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 22:40
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 19:10
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 22:34
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 22:35
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:34
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 20:15
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 22:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-04-06 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-04-06 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-04-06 22:35
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67%0.9%2026-04-06 22:40
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-06 22:35
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-06 22:40
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-04-06 22:40
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-04-06 22:35
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-04-06 22:40
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%3.0%2026-04-06 22:30