Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Miami Marlins v Cincinnati Reds

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-06 22:41 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Prévision 55.16%1.81cote équitable
EV -1.81%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -2.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.23%55.32%55.06%57.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.681.731.731.7859.52%57.84%57.80%56.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.84%2.23cote équitable
EV +2.67%
Avantage +1.17%
Kelly +2.07%
Croissance +0.055%

avec la cote maximale 2.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.71%44.68%44.94%45.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.132.102.2948.78%46.98%47.62%43.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Miami Marlins (Local) : 55.16% ; Cincinnati Reds (Visiteur) : 44.84%. Pour Cincinnati Reds (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.23. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.29, soit une espérance positive de +2.67%.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV +2.67%E +1.17%K +2.07%G +0.055%1.8%2026-04-06 22:39
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV +2.22%E +0.976%K +1.74%G +0.039%2.7%2026-04-06 22:39
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV +1.33%E +0.588%K +1.05%G +0.014%1.7%2026-04-06 22:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV +1.33%E +0.588%K +1.05%G +0.014%2.4%2026-04-06 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV +1.33%E +0.588%K +1.05%G +0.014%2.4%2026-04-06 22:40
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -6.77%E -4.01%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -0.466%E -0.210%K -0.382%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 22:40
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -6.77%E -4.01%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -0.466%E -0.210%K -0.382%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 22:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.67%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.36%E -0.619%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 22:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.67%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.36%E -0.619%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 22:34
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.77%E -4.01%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.36%E -0.619%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 22:39
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.77%E -4.01%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.36%E -0.619%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 22:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.32%E -4.36%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.36%E -0.619%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:39
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.81%E -1.02%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.26%E -1.04%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-06 20:05
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.60%E -1.68%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-06 16:20
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.60%E -1.68%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 17:54
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.67%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.60%E -1.68%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.67%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.60%E -1.68%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.05%E -1.89%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 22:30
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:30
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:30
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:39
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:40
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 20:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.40%E -2.56%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 20:05
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.36%E -1.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 14:25
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.36%E -1.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 16:05
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 16:04
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 16:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 16:05
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 10:04
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 12:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 16:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 12:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 12:05
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 16:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 22:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 16:25
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.67%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 22:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 20:20
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.67%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.29%E -3.01%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 22:40
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 19:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 22:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 22:35
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:34
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
LeoVegas🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 20:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 22:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-04-06 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-04-06 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-04-06 22:35
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67%0.9%2026-04-06 22:40
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-06 22:35
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-06 22:40
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-04-06 22:40
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-04-06 22:35
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-04-06 22:40
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%3.0%2026-04-06 22:30