StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Miami Marlins v Cincinnati Reds

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-06 22:41 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

57 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Miami Marlins (Heim)

Prognose 55.16%1.81faire Quote
EV -1.81%
Vorteil -1.02%
Kelly -2.32%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.78

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
54.23%55.32%55.06%57.29%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.681.731.731.7859.52%57.84%57.80%56.18%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Cincinnati Reds (Auswärts)

Prognose 44.84%2.23faire Quote
EV +2.67%
Vorteil +1.17%
Kelly +2.07%
Wachstum +0.055%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.29

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
42.71%44.68%44.94%45.77%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.052.132.102.2948.78%46.98%47.62%43.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Miami Marlins (Heim): 55.16%; Cincinnati Reds (Auswärts): 44.84%. Für Cincinnati Reds (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.23. 5 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.29 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +2.67%.

Wettanbieterquoten (57 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV +2.67%E +1.17%K +2.07%G +0.055%1.8%2026-04-06 22:39
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV +2.22%E +0.976%K +1.74%G +0.039%2.7%2026-04-06 22:39
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV +1.33%E +0.588%K +1.05%G +0.014%1.7%2026-04-06 22:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV +1.33%E +0.588%K +1.05%G +0.014%2.4%2026-04-06 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV +1.33%E +0.588%K +1.05%G +0.014%2.4%2026-04-06 22:40
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -6.77%E -4.01%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -0.466%E -0.210%K -0.382%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 22:40
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -6.77%E -4.01%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -0.466%E -0.210%K -0.382%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 22:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.67%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.36%E -0.619%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 22:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.67%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.36%E -0.619%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 22:34
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.77%E -4.01%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.36%E -0.619%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 22:39
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.77%E -4.01%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.36%E -0.619%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 22:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.32%E -4.36%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.36%E -0.619%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:39
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.81%E -1.02%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.26%E -1.04%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-06 20:05
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.60%E -1.68%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-06 16:20
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.60%E -1.68%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 17:54
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.67%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.60%E -1.68%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.67%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.60%E -1.68%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.05%E -1.89%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 22:30
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:30
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:30
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:39
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:40
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 20:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.40%E -2.56%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 20:05
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.36%E -1.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 14:25
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.36%E -1.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 16:05
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 16:04
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 16:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 16:05
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 10:04
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 12:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 16:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 12:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 12:05
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 16:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 22:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 16:25
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.67%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 22:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 20:20
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.67%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.29%E -3.01%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 22:40
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 19:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 22:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 22:35
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:34
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
LeoVegas🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 20:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 22:40
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-04-06 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-04-06 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-04-06 22:35
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67%0.9%2026-04-06 22:40
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-06 22:35
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-06 22:40
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-04-06 22:40
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-04-06 22:35
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-04-06 22:40
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%3.0%2026-04-06 22:30