مدرسة الاحتمالات

Miami Marlins v Cincinnati Reds

البداية: 2026-04-06 22:41 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Miami Marlins (المضيف)

التنبؤ 55.16%1.81السعر العادل
EV -1.81%
الأفضلية -1.02%
Kelly -2.32%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.78

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.23%55.32%55.06%57.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.681.731.731.7859.52%57.84%57.80%56.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cincinnati Reds (الضيف)

التنبؤ 44.84%2.23السعر العادل
EV +2.67%
الأفضلية +1.17%
Kelly +2.07%
النمو +0.055%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.29

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.71%44.68%44.94%45.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.132.102.2948.78%46.98%47.62%43.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV +2.67%E +1.17%K +2.07%G +0.055%1.8%2026-04-06 22:39
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV +2.22%E +0.976%K +1.74%G +0.039%2.7%2026-04-06 22:39
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV +1.33%E +0.588%K +1.05%G +0.014%1.7%2026-04-06 22:35
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV +1.33%E +0.588%K +1.05%G +0.014%2.4%2026-04-06 22:40
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV +1.33%E +0.588%K +1.05%G +0.014%2.4%2026-04-06 22:40
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -6.77%E -4.01%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -0.466%E -0.210%K -0.382%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 22:40
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -6.77%E -4.01%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -0.466%E -0.210%K -0.382%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 22:35
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.67%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.36%E -0.619%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 22:29
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.67%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.36%E -0.619%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 22:34
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.77%E -4.01%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.36%E -0.619%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 22:39
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.77%E -4.01%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.36%E -0.619%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 22:40
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.32%E -4.36%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.36%E -0.619%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:39
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.81%E -1.02%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.26%E -1.04%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-06 20:05
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.60%E -1.68%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-06 16:20
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.60%E -1.68%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 17:54
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.67%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.60%E -1.68%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:40
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.67%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.60%E -1.68%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:40
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.05%E -1.89%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 22:30
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:30
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:30
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:39
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:40
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 20:05
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.40%E -2.56%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 20:05
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.36%E -1.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 14:25
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.36%E -1.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 16:05
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 16:04
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 16:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 16:05
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 10:04
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 12:05
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 16:25
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 12:05
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 12:05
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 16:24
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 22:30
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 16:25
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.67%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 22:39
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 20:20
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.67%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.29%E -3.01%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 22:40
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 19:10
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 22:34
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 22:35
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:34
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 20:15
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 22:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-04-06 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-04-06 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-04-06 22:35
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67%0.9%2026-04-06 22:40
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-06 22:35
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-06 22:40
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-04-06 22:40
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-04-06 22:35
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-04-06 22:40
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%3.0%2026-04-06 22:30