La escuela de los momios

Miami Marlins v Cincinnati Reds

Inicio: 2026-04-06 22:41 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Predicción 55.16%1.81momio equitativo
EV -1.81%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -2.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.23%55.32%55.06%57.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.731.731.7859.52%57.84%57.80%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Predicción 44.84%2.23momio equitativo
EV +2.67%
Ventaja +1.17%
Kelly +2.07%
Crecimiento +0.055%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.29

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.71%44.68%44.94%45.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.132.102.2948.78%46.98%47.62%43.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV +2.67%E +1.17%K +2.07%G +0.055%1.8%2026-04-06 22:39
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV +2.22%E +0.976%K +1.74%G +0.039%2.7%2026-04-06 22:39
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV +1.33%E +0.588%K +1.05%G +0.014%1.7%2026-04-06 22:35
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV +1.33%E +0.588%K +1.05%G +0.014%2.4%2026-04-06 22:40
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV +1.33%E +0.588%K +1.05%G +0.014%2.4%2026-04-06 22:40
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -6.77%E -4.01%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -0.466%E -0.210%K -0.382%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 22:40
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -6.77%E -4.01%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -0.466%E -0.210%K -0.382%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 22:35
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.67%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.36%E -0.619%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 22:29
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.67%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.36%E -0.619%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 22:34
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.77%E -4.01%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.36%E -0.619%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 22:39
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.77%E -4.01%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.36%E -0.619%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 22:40
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.32%E -4.36%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.36%E -0.619%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:39
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.81%E -1.02%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.26%E -1.04%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-06 20:05
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.60%E -1.68%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-06 16:20
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.60%E -1.68%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 17:54
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.67%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.60%E -1.68%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:40
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.67%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.60%E -1.68%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:40
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.05%E -1.89%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 22:30
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:30
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 22:30
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:39
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 22:40
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 20:05
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.40%E -2.56%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 20:05
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.36%E -1.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 14:25
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.36%E -1.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 16:05
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 16:04
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 16:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 16:05
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 10:04
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 12:05
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 16:25
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 12:05
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 12:05
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 16:24
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 22:30
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.12%E -2.97%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 16:25
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.67%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 22:39
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.85%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 20:20
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.67%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.29%E -3.01%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 22:40
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 19:10
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 22:34
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 22:35
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:34
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.74%E -3.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 22:35
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 20:15
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 22:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-04-06 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-04-06 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-04-06 22:35
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67%0.9%2026-04-06 22:40
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-06 22:35
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-06 22:40
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-04-06 22:40
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-04-06 22:35
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-04-06 22:40
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%3.0%2026-04-06 22:30