Language:English
Miami Marlins v Chicago Cubs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Miami Marlins (Local)
Prediction 41.44%2.41fair odd
EV +0.705%
Edge +0.290%
Kelly +0.493%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.44%41.46%41.41%45.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.292.292.4347.62%43.69%43.76%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago Cubs (Visit)
Prediction 58.56%1.71fair odd
EV +0.719%
Edge +0.418%
Kelly +0.998%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 1.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.97%58.54%58.59%59.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.641.641.7262.50%60.96%60.98%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Marlins (Local): 41.44%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 58.56%. For Chicago Cubs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.71. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.72, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.719%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -12.97%E -6.18%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +0.719%E +0.418%K +0.998%G +0.007% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -4.27%E -1.85%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -0.452%E -0.266%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.78%E -0.752%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.21%E -1.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.21%E -1.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -3.44%E -1.48%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -2.21%E -1.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.21%E -1.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.21%E -1.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -0.952%E -0.398%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -1.37%E -0.574%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -1.37%E -0.574%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -2.20%E -0.930%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.51%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.51%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.51%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.51%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV +0.705%E +0.290%K +0.493%G +0.003% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-09-04 14:28 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -1.78%E -0.752%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 14:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -6.34%E -2.81%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -7.17%E -3.20%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.44%E -1.48%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.85%E -1.66%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -4.27%E -1.85%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.93%E -2.61%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.10%E -2.23%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.93%E -2.61%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.93%E -2.61%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.02%E -1.29%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 14:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.78%E -0.752%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.78%E -0.752%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -5.93%E -2.61%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 13:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 13:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.31%E -3.94%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.31%E -3.94%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.31%E -3.94%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.31%E -3.94%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -10.07%E -4.64%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -6.31%E -3.94%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 0.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43% | 3.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |