Idioma:Español
Miami Marlins v Chicago Cubs
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Miami Marlins (Local)
Predicción 41.44%2.41momio equitativo
EV +0.705%
Ventaja +0.290%
Kelly +0.493%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.44%41.46%41.41%45.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.292.292.4347.62%43.69%43.76%41.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Chicago Cubs (Visitante)
Predicción 58.56%1.71momio equitativo
EV +0.719%
Ventaja +0.418%
Kelly +0.998%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.97%58.54%58.59%59.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.641.641.7262.50%60.96%60.98%58.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Miami Marlins (Local): 41.44%; Chicago Cubs (Visitante): 58.56%. Para Chicago Cubs (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.71. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.72, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.719%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -12.97%E -6.18%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +0.719%E +0.418%K +0.998%G +0.007% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -4.27%E -1.85%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -0.452%E -0.266%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.78%E -0.752%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.21%E -1.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.21%E -1.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -3.44%E -1.48%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -2.21%E -1.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.21%E -1.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.21%E -1.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -0.952%E -0.398%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -1.37%E -0.574%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -1.37%E -0.574%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -2.20%E -0.930%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.51%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.51%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.51%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.51%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV +0.705%E +0.290%K +0.493%G +0.003% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-09-04 14:28 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -1.78%E -0.752%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 14:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -6.34%E -2.81%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -7.17%E -3.20%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.44%E -1.48%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.85%E -1.66%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -4.27%E -1.85%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.93%E -2.61%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.10%E -2.23%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.93%E -2.61%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.93%E -2.61%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.02%E -1.29%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 14:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.78%E -0.752%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.78%E -0.752%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -5.93%E -2.61%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 13:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 13:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.31%E -3.94%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.31%E -3.94%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.31%E -3.94%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.31%E -3.94%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -10.07%E -4.64%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -6.31%E -3.94%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 0.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43% | 3.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |