Langue:Français
Miami Marlins v Chicago Cubs
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Miami Marlins (Local)
Prévision 41.44%2.41cote équitable
EV +0.705%
Avantage +0.290%
Kelly +0.493%
Croissance +0.003%
avec la cote maximale 2.43
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.44%41.46%41.41%45.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.292.292.4347.62%43.69%43.76%41.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Chicago Cubs (Visiteur)
Prévision 58.56%1.71cote équitable
EV +0.719%
Avantage +0.418%
Kelly +0.998%
Croissance +0.007%
avec la cote maximale 1.72
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.97%58.54%58.59%59.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.601.641.641.7262.50%60.96%60.98%58.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Miami Marlins (Local) : 41.44% ; Chicago Cubs (Visiteur) : 58.56%. Pour Chicago Cubs (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.71. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.72, soit une espérance positive de +0.719%.
Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -12.97%E -6.18%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +0.719%E +0.418%K +0.998%G +0.007% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -4.27%E -1.85%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -0.452%E -0.266%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.78%E -0.752%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.21%E -1.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.21%E -1.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -3.44%E -1.48%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -2.21%E -1.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.21%E -1.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.21%E -1.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -0.952%E -0.398%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -1.37%E -0.574%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -1.37%E -0.574%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -2.20%E -0.930%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.51%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.51%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.51%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.51%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.79%E -1.68%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV +0.705%E +0.290%K +0.493%G +0.003% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-09-04 14:28 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -1.78%E -0.752%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 14:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -6.34%E -2.81%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -7.17%E -3.20%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.44%E -1.48%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.85%E -1.66%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -4.27%E -1.85%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.93%E -2.61%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.10%E -2.23%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.93%E -2.61%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.93%E -2.61%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.02%E -1.29%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 14:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.78%E -0.752%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.78%E -0.752%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -5.93%E -2.61%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 13:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 13:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.31%E -3.94%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.31%E -3.94%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.31%E -3.94%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.31%E -3.94%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -10.07%E -4.64%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -6.31%E -3.94%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (10)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 0.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43% | 3.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |