Language:English
Miami Marlins v Boston Red Sox
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Miami Marlins (Local)
Prediction 42.48%2.35fair odd
EV +0.681%
Edge +0.287%
Kelly +0.497%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.66%42.40%42.54%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.272.252.3746.51%44.14%44.44%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boston Red Sox (Visit)
Prediction 57.52%1.74fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.961%
Kelly -2.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%57.60%57.46%59.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.661.651.7163.69%60.39%60.42%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Marlins (Local): 42.48%; Boston Red Sox (Visit): 57.52%. For Miami Marlins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.35. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.37, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.681%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.48%EV +0.681%E +0.287%K +0.497%G +0.003% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.52%EV -3.37%E -2.01%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-25 22:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -0.169%E -0.072%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -3.37%E -2.01%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-25 22:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.169%E -0.072%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.39%E -4.59%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-25 20:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%EV -0.594%E -0.254%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%EV -2.79%E -1.65%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-25 22:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -0.594%E -0.254%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -4.52%E -2.72%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-25 22:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.02%E -0.437%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.79%E -1.65%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-25 19:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.02%E -0.437%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.37%E -2.01%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-25 22:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.02%E -0.437%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.37%E -2.01%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-25 22:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -1.02%E -0.437%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-25 19:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -1.02%E -0.437%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-25 19:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%EV -1.44%E -0.622%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%EV -2.79%E -1.65%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-25 22:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.54%EV -1.87%E -0.809%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.46%EV -1.64%E -0.961%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-25 17:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -1.87%E -0.809%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -3.37%E -2.01%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-25 22:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.29%E -0.997%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.64%E -0.961%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-25 15:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.29%E -0.997%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-25 19:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.29%E -0.997%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-25 19:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.29%E -0.997%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-25 19:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.29%E -0.997%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-25 19:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.29%E -0.997%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-25 19:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.29%E -0.997%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-25 19:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.29%E -0.997%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-25 19:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.29%E -0.997%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-25 19:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.29%E -0.997%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-25 20:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.29%E -0.997%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.82%E -4.21%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-25 22:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.29%E -0.997%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.97%E -4.98%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 17:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.72%E -1.19%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.64%E -0.961%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-25 22:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.14%E -1.38%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.24%E -3.83%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-25 19:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -3.57%E -1.57%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -4.52%E -2.72%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-25 22:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -3.99%E -1.77%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -2.22%E -1.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-25 15:23 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -3.99%E -1.77%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-25 22:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.37%E -2.01%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-25 20:43 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.37%E -2.01%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-25 17:42 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-25 17:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-25 17:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-25 17:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 20:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 16:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 20:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 20:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 22:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 22:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 22:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-25 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.39%E -4.59%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-25 19:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.39%E -4.59%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-25 19:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.97%E -4.98%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-25 22:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.84%E -2.16%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.52%E -2.72%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-25 20:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.84%E -2.16%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-25 22:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.27%E -2.36%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.52%E -2.72%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 19:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.69%E -2.56%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.52%E -2.72%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-25 15:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.69%E -2.56%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.52%E -2.72%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-25 15:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-25 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-25 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-25 22:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-25 22:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-25 15:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.52%E -2.72%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-25 15:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 22:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 22:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 22:38 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 22:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-25 17:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-25 19:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.82%E -4.21%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-25 22:13 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-25 22:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 0.8% | 2026-08-25 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-08-25 22:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-08-25 22:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-08-25 22:34 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-08-25 22:39 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-08-25 22:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-08-25 22:14 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-08-25 20:39 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 1.9% | 2026-08-25 22:34 |