Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Marlins v Boston Red Sox

2026-08-25 22:40 UTC — MLB

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Previsão 40.22%2.49odd justa
EV +0.552%
Vantagem +0.221%
Kelly +0.368%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.24%40.30%40.05%42.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.182.342.352.5045.87%42.75%42.55%40.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 59.78%1.67odd justa
EV -0.169%
Vantagem -0.101%
Kelly -0.252%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.69%59.70%59.95%60.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.541.611.611.6764.94%62.09%62.11%59.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Miami Marlins (Local): 40.22%; Boston Red Sox (Visitante): 59.78%. Para Miami Marlins (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.49. 2 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.50, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +0.552%.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV +0.552%E +0.221%K +0.368%G +0.002%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-25 07:33
GTbets🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV +0.149%E +0.060%K +0.100%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-25 05:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.253%E -0.102%K -0.171%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-25 05:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.253%E -0.102%K -0.171%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-25 05:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV -1.46%E -0.596%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -1.36%E -0.827%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-25 07:34
DraftKings🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -3.07%E -1.27%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-25 07:34
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-25 07:34
MyBookie.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-25 07:34
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 07:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 07:34
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 07:04
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 07:44
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.34%E -4.74%K -13.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 06:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.27%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-25 04:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.27%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 07:34
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.27%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-25 06:39
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.27%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-25 07:33
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.27%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-25 07:34
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.27%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-25 07:34
1xBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -0.169%E -0.101%K -0.252%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-25 05:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 04:19
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 04:19
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.36%E -0.827%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-25 03:40
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 04:19
888sport🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 06:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 06:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 06:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 06:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-25 07:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-25 06:39
ReBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 07:34
FanDuel🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -5.88%E -2.51%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -2.56%E -1.57%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 03:49
Bovada🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -5.88%E -2.51%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 04:29
Bet Right🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.88%E -2.51%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-25 06:39
Coolbet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.29%E -2.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 06:39
Betsson🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.29%E -2.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 06:39
NordicBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.29%E -2.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 06:39
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.56%E -1.57%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-25 07:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-25 05:43
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 03:49
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 03:57
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.34%E -4.74%K -13.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-25 07:34
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.36%E -0.827%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 04:09
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.36%E -0.827%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 04:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.36%E -0.827%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 04:09
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.36%E -0.827%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 04:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.36%E -0.827%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 04:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.36%E -0.827%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 04:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.36%E -0.827%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 04:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.36%E -0.827%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 04:09
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.36%E -0.827%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 04:09
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.36%E -0.827%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 04:14
Dabble (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.36%E -0.827%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 07:28
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -1.96%E -1.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 04:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -1.96%E -1.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 04:19
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -1.96%E -1.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 04:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.94%E -5.16%K -14.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-25 07:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -10.31%E -4.62%K -8.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 04:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -10.31%E -4.62%K -8.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 04:09
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.87%EV -12.32%E -5.65%K -10.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.13%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-25 04:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-08-25 06:44
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-08-25 06:29
ProphetX2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%1.3%2026-08-25 07:14
Novig2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%1.5%2026-08-25 06:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%1.9%2026-08-25 07:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%1.9%2026-08-25 07:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%1.9%2026-08-25 07:34
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%3.0%2026-08-25 07:34
Arbitragem (1 combinação) +0.12%Caesars 2.50 (40.0%) / 1xBet 1.67 (60.0%)Mostrar detalhes
Miami Marlins (Local)Boston Red Sox (Visitante)Margem
Caesars🎯 2.50 (40.0%)1xBet🎯 1.67 (60.0%)+0.120%