Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Marlins v Boston Red Sox

Início: 2026-08-25 22:42 UTC

Final: Miami Marlins 3–7 Boston Red Sox

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Previsão 42.48%2.35odd justa
EV +0.681%
Vantagem +0.287%
Kelly +0.497%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.66%42.40%42.54%43.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.272.252.3746.51%44.14%44.44%42.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 57.52%1.74odd justa
EV -1.64%
Vantagem -0.961%
Kelly -2.31%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.85%57.60%57.46%59.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.571.661.651.7163.69%60.39%60.42%58.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Miami Marlins (Local): 42.48%; Boston Red Sox (Visitante): 57.52%. Para Miami Marlins (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.35. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.37, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.681%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Caesars🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.48%EV +0.681%E +0.287%K +0.497%G +0.003%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.52%EV -3.37%E -2.01%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-25 22:29
GTbets🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -0.169%E -0.072%K -0.125%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -3.37%E -2.01%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-25 22:19
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.169%E -0.072%K -0.125%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.39%E -4.59%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 20:59
FanDuel🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%EV -0.594%E -0.254%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%EV -2.79%E -1.65%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-25 22:39
BetAnything🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -0.594%E -0.254%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -4.52%E -2.72%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-25 22:39
Everygame🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.02%E -0.437%K -0.766%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.79%E -1.65%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-25 19:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.02%E -0.437%K -0.766%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.37%E -2.01%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-25 22:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.02%E -0.437%K -0.766%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.37%E -2.01%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-25 22:19
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -1.02%E -0.437%K -0.766%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-25 19:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -1.02%E -0.437%K -0.766%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-25 19:59
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%EV -1.44%E -0.622%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%EV -2.79%E -1.65%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-25 22:00
DraftKings🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.54%EV -1.87%E -0.809%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.46%EV -1.64%E -0.961%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-25 17:39
BetUS🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -1.87%E -0.809%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -3.37%E -2.01%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-25 22:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.29%E -0.997%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.64%E -0.961%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-25 15:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.29%E -0.997%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-25 19:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.29%E -0.997%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 19:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.29%E -0.997%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 19:39
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.29%E -0.997%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 19:59
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.29%E -0.997%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 19:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.29%E -0.997%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 19:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.29%E -0.997%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 19:59
Bally Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.29%E -0.997%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 19:59
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.29%E -0.997%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 20:00
Dabble (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.29%E -0.997%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.82%E -4.21%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-25 22:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.29%E -0.997%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.97%E -4.98%K -13.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 17:39
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.72%E -1.19%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.64%E -0.961%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-25 22:19
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.14%E -1.38%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.24%E -3.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-25 19:39
Bovada🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -3.57%E -1.57%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -4.52%E -2.72%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 22:39
theScore Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -3.99%E -1.77%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -2.22%E -1.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-25 15:23
SportsBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -3.99%E -1.77%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-25 22:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.37%E -2.01%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-25 20:43
MyBookie.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.37%E -2.01%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-25 17:42
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 17:39
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 17:39
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 20:54
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 16:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 20:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 20:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 22:19
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 22:19
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 22:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 20:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.39%E -4.59%K -12.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 19:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.39%E -4.59%K -12.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 19:59
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.97%E -4.98%K -13.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-25 22:34
Bet Right🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.84%E -2.16%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.52%E -2.72%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-25 20:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.84%E -2.16%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-25 22:39
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.27%E -2.36%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.52%E -2.72%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 19:29
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.69%E -2.56%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.52%E -2.72%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 15:44
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.69%E -2.56%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.52%E -2.72%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 15:44
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 16:59
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 22:19
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 22:19
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 15:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.52%E -2.72%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-25 15:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 22:29
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 22:39
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 22:38
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.09%E -3.09%K -7.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 22:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.67%E -3.46%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-25 17:39
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -9.70%E -6.18%K -17.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-25 19:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.82%E -4.21%K -11.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-25 22:13
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-08-25 22:39
ProphetX◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%0.8%2026-08-25 22:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-08-25 22:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-08-25 22:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-08-25 22:34
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-08-25 22:39
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-08-25 22:39
Smarkets◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-08-25 22:14
Polymarket◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-08-25 20:39
BetOpenly◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-08-25 22:34