Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Miami Marlins v Boston Red Sox

2026-08-25 22:40 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Prévision 40.22%2.49cote équitable
EV +0.552%
Avantage +0.221%
Kelly +0.368%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.24%40.30%40.05%42.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.182.342.352.5045.87%42.75%42.55%40.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Boston Red Sox (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.78%1.67cote équitable
EV -0.169%
Avantage -0.101%
Kelly -0.252%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.69%59.70%59.95%60.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.541.611.611.6764.94%62.09%62.11%59.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Miami Marlins (Local) : 40.22% ; Boston Red Sox (Visiteur) : 59.78%. Pour Miami Marlins (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.49. 2 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.50, pour une espérance positive de +0.552%.

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV +0.552%E +0.221%K +0.368%G +0.002%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-25 07:33
GTbets🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV +0.149%E +0.060%K +0.100%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-25 05:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.253%E -0.102%K -0.171%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-25 05:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.253%E -0.102%K -0.171%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-25 05:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV -1.46%E -0.596%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -1.36%E -0.827%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-25 07:34
DraftKings🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -3.07%E -1.27%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-25 07:34
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-25 07:34
MyBookie.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-25 07:34
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 07:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 07:34
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 07:04
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 07:44
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.34%E -4.74%K -13.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 06:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.27%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-25 04:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.27%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 07:34
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.27%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-25 06:39
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.27%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-25 07:33
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.27%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-25 07:34
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.27%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-25 07:34
1xBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -0.169%E -0.101%K -0.252%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-25 05:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 04:19
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 04:19
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.36%E -0.827%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-25 03:40
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 04:19
888sport🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 06:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 06:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 06:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 06:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-25 07:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-25 06:39
ReBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.48%E -2.33%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 07:34
FanDuel🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -5.88%E -2.51%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -2.56%E -1.57%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 03:49
Bovada🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -5.88%E -2.51%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 04:29
Bet Right🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.88%E -2.51%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-25 06:39
Coolbet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.29%E -2.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 06:39
Betsson🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.29%E -2.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 06:39
NordicBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.29%E -2.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.76%E -2.33%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 06:39
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.56%E -1.57%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-25 07:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-25 05:43
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 03:49
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 03:57
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.49%E -3.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.34%E -4.74%K -13.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-25 07:34
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.36%E -0.827%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 04:09
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.36%E -0.827%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 04:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.36%E -0.827%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 04:09
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.36%E -0.827%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 04:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.36%E -0.827%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 04:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.36%E -0.827%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 04:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.36%E -0.827%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 04:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.36%E -0.827%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 04:09
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.36%E -0.827%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 04:09
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.36%E -0.827%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 04:14
Dabble (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.36%E -0.827%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 07:28
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -1.96%E -1.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 04:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -1.96%E -1.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 04:19
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -1.96%E -1.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 04:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.50%E -4.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.94%E -5.16%K -14.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-25 07:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -10.31%E -4.62%K -8.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 04:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -10.31%E -4.62%K -8.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -3.16%E -1.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 04:09
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.87%EV -12.32%E -5.65%K -10.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.13%EV -6.15%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-25 04:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-08-25 06:44
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-08-25 06:29
ProphetX2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%1.3%2026-08-25 07:14
Novig2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%1.5%2026-08-25 06:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%1.9%2026-08-25 07:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%1.9%2026-08-25 07:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%1.9%2026-08-25 07:34
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%3.0%2026-08-25 07:34
Arbitrage (1 combinaison) +0.12%Caesars 2.50 (40.0%) / 1xBet 1.67 (60.0%)Afficher les détails
Miami Marlins (Local)Boston Red Sox (Visiteur)Marge
Caesars🎯 2.50 (40.0%)1xBet🎯 1.67 (60.0%)+0.120%