Language:English
Miami Marlins v Baltimore Orioles
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Miami Marlins (Local)
Prediction 56.02%1.79fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.800%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%56.06%56.06%57.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.701.701.7661.73%58.86%58.82%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Baltimore Orioles (Visit)
Prediction 43.98%2.27fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.463%
Kelly -0.833%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.41%43.94%43.94%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.182.182.2547.62%45.94%45.87%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Marlins (Local): 56.02%; Baltimore Orioles (Visit): 43.98%. For Baltimore Orioles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.25, with an expected value of -1.04%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.41%E -0.800%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -2.36%E -1.06%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-05 22:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.41%E -0.800%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.80%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-05 22:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.97%E -1.12%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-05 22:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.04%E -0.463%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-05 22:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.04%E -0.463%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-05 22:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.36%E -1.06%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-05 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.36%E -1.06%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-05 22:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.36%E -1.06%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-05 22:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.09%E -1.79%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-05 20:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.09%E -1.79%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 07:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.65%E -2.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 20:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.65%E -2.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.76%E -3.19%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 22:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.65%E -2.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.76%E -3.19%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 22:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.65%E -2.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 22:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -1.92%E -0.861%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-05 20:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-05 15:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-05 19:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-05 20:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-05 22:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 22:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 15:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 15:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 15:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.88%E -2.75%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 22:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -2.80%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-05 20:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-05 20:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-05 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-05 16:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 22:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.56%E -2.10%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 22:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 15:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 20:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 16:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.36%E -1.06%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-05 22:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.36%E -1.06%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-05 20:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 19:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 16:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-05 22:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-05 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-05 22:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 22:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 20:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 20:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 20:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 20:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 20:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 20:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 20:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 20:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-05 20:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 22:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 20:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-05 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -5.88%E -2.75%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 22:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -8.13%E -4.96%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -6.76%E -3.19%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 22:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.25%E -5.71%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 22:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -9.25%E -5.71%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-05 22:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84% | 0.0% | 2026-05-05 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 0.4% | 2026-05-05 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 0.4% | 2026-05-05 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 0.4% | 2026-05-05 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.54% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.46% | 0.5% | 2026-05-05 22:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-05-05 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-05-05 15:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-05-05 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94% | 2.5% | 2026-05-05 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93% | 3.1% | 2026-05-05 22:40 |