Język:Polski
Miami Marlins v Baltimore Orioles
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Miami Marlins (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 56.02%1.79kurs godziwy
EV -1.41%
Przewaga -0.800%
Kelly -1.85%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.76
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
54.83%56.06%56.06%57.59%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.621.701.701.7661.73%58.86%58.82%56.82%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Baltimore Orioles (Goście)
Prognoza 43.98%2.27kurs godziwy
EV -1.04%
Przewaga -0.463%
Kelly -0.833%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.25
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
42.41%43.94%43.94%45.17%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.102.182.182.2547.62%45.94%45.87%44.44%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Miami Marlins (Gospodarze): 56.02%; Baltimore Orioles (Goście): 43.98%. Dla wyniku Baltimore Orioles (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.27. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 2.25, przy wartości oczekiwanej -1.04%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.
Kursy bukmacherskie (59 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.41%E -0.800%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -2.36%E -1.06%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-05 22:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.41%E -0.800%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.80%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-05 22:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.97%E -1.12%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-05 22:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.04%E -0.463%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-05 22:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.04%E -0.463%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-05 22:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.36%E -1.06%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-05 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.36%E -1.06%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-05 22:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.36%E -1.06%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-05 22:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.09%E -1.79%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-05 20:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.09%E -1.79%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 07:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.65%E -2.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 20:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.65%E -2.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.76%E -3.19%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 22:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.65%E -2.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.76%E -3.19%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 22:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.65%E -2.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 22:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -1.92%E -0.861%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-05 20:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-05 15:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-05 19:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-05 20:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-05 22:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 22:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 15:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 15:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 15:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.88%E -2.75%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 22:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -2.80%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-05 20:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-05 20:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-05 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-05 16:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 22:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.56%E -2.10%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 22:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 15:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 20:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 16:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.36%E -1.06%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-05 22:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.36%E -1.06%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-05 20:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 19:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 16:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-05 22:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-05 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-05 22:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 22:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 20:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 20:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 20:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 20:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 20:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 20:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 20:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 20:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-05 20:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 22:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 20:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-05 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -5.88%E -2.75%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 22:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -8.13%E -4.96%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -6.76%E -3.19%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-05 22:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.25%E -5.71%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 22:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -9.25%E -5.71%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-05 22:40 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (10)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84% | 0.0% | 2026-05-05 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 0.4% | 2026-05-05 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 0.4% | 2026-05-05 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 0.4% | 2026-05-05 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.54% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.46% | 0.5% | 2026-05-05 22:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-05-05 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-05-05 15:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-05-05 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94% | 2.5% | 2026-05-05 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93% | 3.1% | 2026-05-05 22:40 |