L’École des cotes

Miami Marlins v Baltimore Orioles

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-05 22:41 UTC

Score final : Miami Marlins 7–9 Baltimore Orioles

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Prévision 56.02%1.79cote équitable
EV -1.41%
Avantage -0.800%
Kelly -1.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.83%56.06%56.06%57.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.701.701.7661.73%58.86%58.82%56.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Baltimore Orioles (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.98%2.27cote équitable
EV -1.04%
Avantage -0.463%
Kelly -0.833%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.41%43.94%43.94%45.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.182.182.2547.62%45.94%45.87%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.41%E -0.800%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -2.36%E -1.06%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-05 22:35
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.41%E -0.800%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.80%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-05 22:35
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.97%E -1.12%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-05 22:39
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.04%E -0.463%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-05 22:30
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.04%E -0.463%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-05 22:30
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.36%E -1.06%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-05 22:30
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.36%E -1.06%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-05 22:30
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.36%E -1.06%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-05 22:35
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.09%E -1.79%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-05 20:45
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.09%E -1.79%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 07:45
DraftKings1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.65%E -2.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 20:14
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.65%E -2.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.76%E -3.19%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 22:40
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.65%E -2.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.76%E -3.19%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 22:40
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.65%E -2.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 22:30
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -1.92%E -0.861%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-05 20:55
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-05 15:10
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-05 19:39
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-05 20:15
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 22:39
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 22:30
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 15:09
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 15:09
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 15:09
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.88%E -2.75%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 22:30
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -2.80%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-05 20:40
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 20:54
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 16:49
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 22:15
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.56%E -2.10%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 22:15
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 15:09
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 20:15
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 16:49
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.36%E -1.06%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 22:15
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.36%E -1.06%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 20:14
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 19:40
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 16:50
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 22:40
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 22:25
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 22:40
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 22:15
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 20:55
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 20:55
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 20:55
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 20:55
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 20:55
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 20:54
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 20:55
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 20:55
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 20:55
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 20:15
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 22:40
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 20:15
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 18:30
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -5.88%E -2.75%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-05 22:40
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -8.13%E -4.96%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -6.76%E -3.19%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-05 22:40
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.25%E -5.71%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 22:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -9.25%E -5.71%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-05 22:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-05-05 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-05-05 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-05-05 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-05-05 22:40
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.54%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.46%0.5%2026-05-05 22:30
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-05 22:40
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-05 15:55
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-05 22:40
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%2.5%2026-05-05 22:40
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%3.1%2026-05-05 22:40