La scuola delle quote

Miami Marlins v Baltimore Orioles

Inizio: 2026-05-05 22:41 UTC

Finale: Miami Marlins 7–9 Baltimore Orioles

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Miami Marlins (Casa)

Previsione 56.02%1.79quota equa
EV -1.41%
Vantaggio -0.800%
Kelly -1.85%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.76

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.83%56.06%56.06%57.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.701.701.7661.73%58.86%58.82%56.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Baltimore Orioles (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.98%2.27quota equa
EV -1.04%
Vantaggio -0.463%
Kelly -0.833%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.41%43.94%43.94%45.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.182.182.2547.62%45.94%45.87%44.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.41%E -0.800%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -2.36%E -1.06%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-05 22:35
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.41%E -0.800%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.80%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-05 22:35
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.97%E -1.12%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-05 22:39
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.04%E -0.463%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-05 22:30
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.04%E -0.463%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-05 22:30
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.36%E -1.06%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-05 22:30
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.36%E -1.06%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-05 22:30
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.53%E -1.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.36%E -1.06%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-05 22:35
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.09%E -1.79%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-05 20:45
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.09%E -1.79%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 07:45
DraftKings1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.65%E -2.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 20:14
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.65%E -2.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.76%E -3.19%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 22:40
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.65%E -2.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.76%E -3.19%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 22:40
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.65%E -2.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 22:30
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -1.92%E -0.861%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-05 20:55
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-05 15:10
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-05 19:39
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-05 20:15
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 22:39
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 22:30
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 15:09
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 15:09
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 15:09
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.21%E -2.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.88%E -2.75%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 22:30
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -2.80%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-05 20:40
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 20:54
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 16:49
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 22:15
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.56%E -2.10%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 22:15
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 15:09
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 20:15
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 16:49
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.36%E -1.06%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 22:15
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.36%E -1.06%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 20:14
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 19:40
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 16:50
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 22:40
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 22:25
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.33%E -3.15%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 22:40
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 22:15
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 20:55
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 20:55
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 20:55
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 20:55
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 20:55
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 20:54
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 20:55
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 20:55
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 20:55
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 20:15
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.12%E -1.89%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 22:40
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.44%E -2.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 20:15
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 18:30
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -5.88%E -2.75%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-05 22:40
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -8.13%E -4.96%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -6.76%E -3.19%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-05 22:40
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.25%E -5.71%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.24%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 22:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -9.25%E -5.71%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -7.64%E -3.64%K -6.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-05 22:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-05-05 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-05-05 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-05-05 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-05-05 22:40
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.54%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.46%0.5%2026-05-05 22:30
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-05 22:40
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-05 15:55
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-05 22:40
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%2.5%2026-05-05 22:40
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%3.1%2026-05-05 22:40