Language:English
Miami Marlins v Atlanta Braves
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Miami Marlins (Local)
Prediction 44.58%2.24fair odd
EV +2.53%
Edge +1.10%
Kelly +1.95%
Growth +0.049%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.13%44.66%44.66%46.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.162.152.3050.00%46.21%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlanta Braves (Visit)
Prediction 55.42%1.80fair odd
EV +0.865%
Edge +0.475%
Kelly +1.06%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 1.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.48%55.34%55.34%57.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.711.721.8261.35%58.46%58.14%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Marlins (Local): 44.58%; Atlanta Braves (Visit): 55.42%. For Miami Marlins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.53%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV +2.53%E +1.10%K +1.95%G +0.049% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -6.89%E -4.10%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-21 20:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV +1.64%E +0.720%K +1.28%G +0.021% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -8.00%E -4.82%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-21 20:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV +1.64%E +0.720%K +1.28%G +0.021% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -8.00%E -4.82%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-21 20:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.56%E -5.19%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-21 20:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.56%E -5.19%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-21 20:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.56%E -5.19%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-21 20:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.56%E -5.19%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-21 20:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.56%E -5.19%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-21 20:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.56%E -5.19%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-21 20:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -9.11%E -5.56%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 20:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -9.11%E -5.56%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 20:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -9.11%E -5.56%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 20:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -9.11%E -5.56%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 20:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -0.587%E -0.263%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-21 22:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.587%E -0.263%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.56%E -5.19%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 22:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.03%E -0.465%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.46%E -1.40%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-21 21:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.03%E -0.465%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-21 21:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.03%E -0.465%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.57%E -2.05%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-21 22:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.48%E -0.669%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-21 21:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -1.92%E -0.875%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-21 19:58 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.92%E -0.875%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.45%E -4.46%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.92%E -0.875%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.56%E -5.19%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -2.82%E -1.29%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.34%E -3.75%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-21 22:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -2.82%E -1.29%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -9.66%E -5.93%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-21 22:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.71%E -1.72%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.57%E -2.05%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-21 06:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.71%E -1.72%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.12%E -2.38%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-21 18:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-21 22:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.57%E -2.05%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-21 22:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.57%E -2.05%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-21 18:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.57%E -2.05%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-21 19:18 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.57%E -2.05%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-21 12:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.12%E -2.38%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-21 22:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.68%E -2.72%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-21 22:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.23%E -3.06%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-21 18:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.23%E -3.06%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-21 19:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.23%E -3.06%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-21 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.23%E -3.06%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-21 19:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.23%E -3.06%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-21 18:58 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.79%E -3.40%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 01:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.45%E -4.46%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-21 20:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.60%E -2.15%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.12%E -2.38%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-21 19:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.60%E -2.15%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.23%E -3.06%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 10:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -5.05%E -2.37%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -0.243%E -0.135%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-21 22:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.49%E -2.59%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-21 22:38 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.49%E -2.59%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.12%E -2.38%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-21 22:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.49%E -2.59%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.68%E -2.72%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.49%E -2.59%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.68%E -2.72%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 21:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -5.94%E -2.81%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV +0.865%E +0.475%K +1.06%G +0.009% | 2.3% | 2026-05-21 22:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 22:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.12%E -2.38%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 19:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.79%E -3.40%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-21 22:38 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.34%E -3.75%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-21 22:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.45%E -4.46%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-21 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -7.27%E -3.50%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -1.35%E -0.759%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-21 22:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.27%E -3.50%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 22:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.27%E -3.50%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 22:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.61%E -4.20%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.46%E -1.40%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 22:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.61%E -4.20%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.57%E -2.05%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-21 22:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.61%E -4.20%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.23%E -3.06%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-21 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -10.84%E -5.42%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.57%E -2.05%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-21 22:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16% | 0.0% | 2026-05-21 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 0.8% | 2026-05-21 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 0.8% | 2026-05-21 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 0.8% | 2026-05-21 22:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-05-21 22:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-05-21 11:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00% | 1.5% | 2026-05-21 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25% | 1.6% | 2026-05-21 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.2% | 2026-05-21 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33% | 2.7% | 2026-05-21 22:40 |