مدرسة الاحتمالات

Miami Marlins v Atlanta Braves

البداية: 2026-05-21 22:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Miami Marlins 3–9 Atlanta Braves

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Miami Marlins (المضيف)

التنبؤ 44.58%2.24السعر العادل
EV +2.53%
الأفضلية +1.10%
Kelly +1.95%
النمو +0.049%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.13%44.66%44.66%46.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.162.152.3050.00%46.21%46.51%43.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Atlanta Braves (الضيف)

التنبؤ 55.42%1.80السعر العادل
EV +0.865%
الأفضلية +0.475%
Kelly +1.06%
النمو +0.009%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.82

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.48%55.34%55.34%57.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.631.711.721.8261.35%58.46%58.14%54.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV +2.53%E +1.10%K +1.95%G +0.049%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -6.89%E -4.10%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-21 20:40
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV +1.64%E +0.720%K +1.28%G +0.021%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -8.00%E -4.82%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-21 20:40
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV +1.64%E +0.720%K +1.28%G +0.021%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -8.00%E -4.82%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-21 20:40
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.56%E -5.19%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.56%E -5.19%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 20:40
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.56%E -5.19%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 20:40
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.56%E -5.19%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 20:40
Bally Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.56%E -5.19%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 20:40
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.56%E -5.19%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 20:40
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -9.11%E -5.56%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 20:40
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -9.11%E -5.56%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 20:40
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -9.11%E -5.56%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 20:39
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -9.11%E -5.56%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 20:40
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -0.587%E -0.263%K -0.478%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-21 22:00
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.587%E -0.263%K -0.478%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.56%E -5.19%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 22:40
Everygame2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.03%E -0.465%K -0.847%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.46%E -1.40%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-21 21:10
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.03%E -0.465%K -0.847%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-21 21:59
BetAnything2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.03%E -0.465%K -0.847%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.57%E -2.05%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-21 22:39
BetUS2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.48%E -0.669%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-21 21:29
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -1.92%E -0.875%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-21 19:58
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.92%E -0.875%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.45%E -4.46%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 22:40
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.92%E -0.875%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.56%E -5.19%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 10:10
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -2.82%E -1.29%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.34%E -3.75%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 22:29
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -2.82%E -1.29%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -9.66%E -5.93%K -15.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 22:40
FanDuel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.71%E -1.72%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.57%E -2.05%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-21 06:50
MyBookie.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.71%E -1.72%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.12%E -2.38%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-21 18:59
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-21 22:00
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.57%E -2.05%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-21 22:39
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.57%E -2.05%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-21 18:59
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.57%E -2.05%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-21 19:18
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.57%E -2.05%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-21 12:30
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.12%E -2.38%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 22:39
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.68%E -2.72%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 22:39
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.23%E -3.06%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 18:59
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.23%E -3.06%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 19:00
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.23%E -3.06%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 18:59
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.23%E -3.06%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 19:00
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.23%E -3.06%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 18:58
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.79%E -3.40%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 01:10
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.45%E -4.46%K -11.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 20:20
DraftKings2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.60%E -2.15%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.12%E -2.38%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-21 19:00
SportsBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.60%E -2.15%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.23%E -3.06%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 10:50
LowVig.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -5.05%E -2.37%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -0.243%E -0.135%K -0.304%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-21 22:39
Bovada2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.49%E -2.59%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 22:38
GTbets2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.49%E -2.59%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.12%E -2.38%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 22:40
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.49%E -2.59%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.68%E -2.72%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 22:00
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.49%E -2.59%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.68%E -2.72%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 21:59
BetOnline.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -5.94%E -2.81%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV +0.865%E +0.475%K +1.06%G +0.009%2.3%2026-05-21 22:39
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 22:40
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.12%E -2.38%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 19:50
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.79%E -3.40%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 22:38
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.34%E -3.75%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 22:40
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.45%E -4.46%K -11.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 18:59
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -7.27%E -3.50%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -1.35%E -0.759%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 22:39
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.27%E -3.50%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 22:39
Dabble (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.27%E -3.50%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 22:39
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.61%E -4.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.46%E -1.40%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 22:40
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.61%E -4.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.57%E -2.05%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 22:39
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.61%E -4.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.23%E -3.06%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 22:40
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -10.84%E -5.42%K -10.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.57%E -2.05%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 22:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-05-21 22:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-05-21 22:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-05-21 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-05-21 22:30
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-05-21 22:30
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-05-21 11:40
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%1.5%2026-05-21 22:40
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%1.6%2026-05-21 22:40
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-05-21 22:40
ProphetX2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.7%2026-05-21 22:40