A Escola das Odds

Miami Marlins v Atlanta Braves

Início: 2026-05-21 22:41 UTC

Final: Miami Marlins 3–9 Atlanta Braves

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Previsão 44.58%2.24odd justa
EV +2.53%
Vantagem +1.10%
Kelly +1.95%
Crescimento +0.049%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.13%44.66%44.66%46.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.162.152.3050.00%46.21%46.51%43.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atlanta Braves (Visitante)

Previsão 55.42%1.80odd justa
EV +0.865%
Vantagem +0.475%
Kelly +1.06%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.48%55.34%55.34%57.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.631.711.721.8261.35%58.46%58.14%54.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV +2.53%E +1.10%K +1.95%G +0.049%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -6.89%E -4.10%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-21 20:40
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV +1.64%E +0.720%K +1.28%G +0.021%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -8.00%E -4.82%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-21 20:40
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV +1.64%E +0.720%K +1.28%G +0.021%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -8.00%E -4.82%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-21 20:40
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.56%E -5.19%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.56%E -5.19%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 20:40
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.56%E -5.19%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 20:40
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.56%E -5.19%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 20:40
Bally Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.56%E -5.19%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 20:40
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.56%E -5.19%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 20:40
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -9.11%E -5.56%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 20:40
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -9.11%E -5.56%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 20:40
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -9.11%E -5.56%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 20:39
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -9.11%E -5.56%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 20:40
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -0.587%E -0.263%K -0.478%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-21 22:00
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.587%E -0.263%K -0.478%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.56%E -5.19%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 22:40
Everygame2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.03%E -0.465%K -0.847%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.46%E -1.40%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-21 21:10
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.03%E -0.465%K -0.847%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-21 21:59
BetAnything2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.03%E -0.465%K -0.847%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.57%E -2.05%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-21 22:39
BetUS2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.48%E -0.669%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-21 21:29
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -1.92%E -0.875%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-21 19:58
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.92%E -0.875%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.45%E -4.46%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 22:40
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.92%E -0.875%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.56%E -5.19%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 10:10
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -2.82%E -1.29%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.34%E -3.75%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 22:29
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -2.82%E -1.29%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -9.66%E -5.93%K -15.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 22:40
FanDuel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.71%E -1.72%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.57%E -2.05%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-21 06:50
MyBookie.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.71%E -1.72%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.12%E -2.38%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-21 18:59
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-21 22:00
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.57%E -2.05%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-21 22:39
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.57%E -2.05%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-21 18:59
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.57%E -2.05%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-21 19:18
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.57%E -2.05%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-21 12:30
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.12%E -2.38%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 22:39
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.68%E -2.72%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 22:39
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.23%E -3.06%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 18:59
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.23%E -3.06%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 19:00
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.23%E -3.06%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 18:59
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.23%E -3.06%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 19:00
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.23%E -3.06%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 18:58
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.79%E -3.40%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 01:10
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.45%E -4.46%K -11.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 20:20
DraftKings2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.60%E -2.15%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.12%E -2.38%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-21 19:00
SportsBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.60%E -2.15%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.23%E -3.06%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 10:50
LowVig.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -5.05%E -2.37%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -0.243%E -0.135%K -0.304%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-21 22:39
Bovada2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.49%E -2.59%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 22:38
GTbets2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.49%E -2.59%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.12%E -2.38%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 22:40
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.49%E -2.59%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.68%E -2.72%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 22:00
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.49%E -2.59%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.68%E -2.72%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 21:59
BetOnline.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -5.94%E -2.81%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV +0.865%E +0.475%K +1.06%G +0.009%2.3%2026-05-21 22:39
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 22:40
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.12%E -2.38%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 19:50
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.79%E -3.40%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 22:38
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.34%E -3.75%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 22:40
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.45%E -4.46%K -11.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 18:59
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -7.27%E -3.50%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -1.35%E -0.759%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 22:39
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.27%E -3.50%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 22:39
Dabble (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.27%E -3.50%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 22:39
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.61%E -4.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.46%E -1.40%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 22:40
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.61%E -4.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.57%E -2.05%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 22:39
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.61%E -4.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.23%E -3.06%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 22:40
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -10.84%E -5.42%K -10.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.57%E -2.05%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 22:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-05-21 22:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-05-21 22:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-05-21 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-05-21 22:30
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-05-21 22:30
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-05-21 11:40
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%1.5%2026-05-21 22:40
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%1.6%2026-05-21 22:40
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-05-21 22:40
ProphetX2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.7%2026-05-21 22:40