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Miami Marlins v Atlanta Braves
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Miami Marlins (Local)
Predicción 44.58%2.24momio equitativo
EV +2.53%
Ventaja +1.10%
Kelly +1.95%
Crecimiento +0.049%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.13%44.66%44.66%46.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.162.152.3050.00%46.21%46.51%43.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Atlanta Braves (Visitante)
Predicción 55.42%1.80momio equitativo
EV +0.865%
Ventaja +0.475%
Kelly +1.06%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.48%55.34%55.34%57.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.631.711.721.8261.35%58.46%58.14%54.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Miami Marlins (Local): 44.58%; Atlanta Braves (Visitante): 55.42%. Para Miami Marlins (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.24. 13 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.30, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.53%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV +2.53%E +1.10%K +1.95%G +0.049% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -6.89%E -4.10%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-21 20:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV +1.64%E +0.720%K +1.28%G +0.021% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -8.00%E -4.82%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-21 20:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV +1.64%E +0.720%K +1.28%G +0.021% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -8.00%E -4.82%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-21 20:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.56%E -5.19%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-21 20:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.56%E -5.19%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-21 20:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.56%E -5.19%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-21 20:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.56%E -5.19%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-21 20:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.56%E -5.19%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-21 20:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.56%E -5.19%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-21 20:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -9.11%E -5.56%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 20:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -9.11%E -5.56%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 20:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -9.11%E -5.56%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 20:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +0.304%E +0.135%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -9.11%E -5.56%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 20:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -0.587%E -0.263%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-21 22:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -0.587%E -0.263%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.56%E -5.19%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 22:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.03%E -0.465%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.46%E -1.40%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-21 21:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.03%E -0.465%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-21 21:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.03%E -0.465%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.57%E -2.05%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-21 22:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.48%E -0.669%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-21 21:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -1.92%E -0.875%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-21 19:58 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.92%E -0.875%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.45%E -4.46%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.92%E -0.875%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.56%E -5.19%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -2.82%E -1.29%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.34%E -3.75%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-21 22:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -2.82%E -1.29%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -9.66%E -5.93%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-21 22:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.71%E -1.72%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.57%E -2.05%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-21 06:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.71%E -1.72%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.12%E -2.38%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-21 18:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-21 22:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.57%E -2.05%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-21 22:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.57%E -2.05%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-21 18:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.57%E -2.05%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-21 19:18 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.57%E -2.05%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-21 12:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.12%E -2.38%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-21 22:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.68%E -2.72%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-21 22:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.23%E -3.06%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-21 18:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.23%E -3.06%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-21 19:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.23%E -3.06%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-21 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.23%E -3.06%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-21 19:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.23%E -3.06%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-21 18:58 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.79%E -3.40%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 01:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.15%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.45%E -4.46%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-21 20:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.60%E -2.15%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.12%E -2.38%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-21 19:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.60%E -2.15%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.23%E -3.06%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 10:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -5.05%E -2.37%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -0.243%E -0.135%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-21 22:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.49%E -2.59%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-21 22:38 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.49%E -2.59%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.12%E -2.38%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-21 22:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.49%E -2.59%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.68%E -2.72%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.49%E -2.59%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.68%E -2.72%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 21:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -5.94%E -2.81%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV +0.865%E +0.475%K +1.06%G +0.009% | 2.3% | 2026-05-21 22:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 22:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.12%E -2.38%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 19:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.79%E -3.40%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-21 22:38 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.34%E -3.75%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-21 22:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.38%E -3.04%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.45%E -4.46%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-21 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -7.27%E -3.50%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -1.35%E -0.759%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-21 22:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.27%E -3.50%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 22:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.27%E -3.50%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 22:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.61%E -4.20%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.46%E -1.40%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 22:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.61%E -4.20%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.57%E -2.05%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-21 22:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.61%E -4.20%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.23%E -3.06%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-21 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -10.84%E -5.42%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.57%E -2.05%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-21 22:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16% | 0.0% | 2026-05-21 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 0.8% | 2026-05-21 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 0.8% | 2026-05-21 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 0.8% | 2026-05-21 22:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-05-21 22:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-05-21 11:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00% | 1.5% | 2026-05-21 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25% | 1.6% | 2026-05-21 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.2% | 2026-05-21 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33% | 2.7% | 2026-05-21 22:40 |