Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers v San Diego Padres

Kickoff: 2026-07-05 23:21 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 2–5 San Diego Padres

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prediction 66.41%1.51fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -3.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.38%66.44%66.43%68.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.431.431.4874.07%69.83%69.93%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Diego Padres (Visit)

Prediction 33.59%2.98fair odd
EV +0.779%
Edge +0.260%
Kelly +0.390%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.76%33.56%33.57%34.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.862.863.0037.04%35.01%34.97%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 66.41%; San Diego Padres (Visit): 33.59%. For San Diego Padres (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.98. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.779%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -6.37%E -4.52%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV +0.779%E +0.260%K +0.390%G +0.003%4.3%2026-07-05 23:19
Pinnacle🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12%EV -3.05%E -2.09%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%EV +0.107%E +0.036%K +0.054%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 23:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -0.901%E -0.305%K -0.462%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-05 23:20
Bet Right🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.901%E -0.305%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 22:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.901%E -0.305%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 19:44
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%EV -1.72%E -1.16%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%EV -1.91%E -0.654%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-05 21:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -2.38%E -1.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV -1.91%E -0.654%K -0.994%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 23:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -2.38%E -1.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV -1.91%E -0.654%K -0.994%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 23:20
BetAnything🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 19:20
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:20
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:20
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:15
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:20
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 21:50
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -7.69%E -5.54%K -19.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 23:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -10.35%E -7.67%K -29.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 23:20
GTbets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -2.38%E -1.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-05 23:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -3.25%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 22:50
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -3.25%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 22:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.25%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 23:18
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.25%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 23:20
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.25%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 23:15
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.25%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 23:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.25%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 23:20
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -3.59%E -1.25%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -3.59%E -1.25%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 23:09
BetUS🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -2.38%E -1.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-05 22:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 23:18
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 22:50
ReBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.05%E -2.09%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-05 23:19
Caesars🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 23:19
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 19:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 21:45
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 21:45
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 21:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 19:55
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 20:00
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 19:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 19:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 19:54
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 23:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.38%E -1.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 23:15
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.38%E -1.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 15:40
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 19:39
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 19:40
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 23:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 23:20
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 20:54
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -6.61%E -2.38%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 19:39
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -6.61%E -2.38%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 19:40
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 23:20
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 17:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 23:19
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 23:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.30%E -3.44%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 23:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -6.37%E -4.52%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -9.30%E -3.44%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 23:18
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.30%E -3.44%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 23:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.48I 67.57%NM 67.69%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.31%-0.2%2026-07-05 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-07-05 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-07-05 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-07-05 23:20
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-07-05 23:20
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-07-05 19:15
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-07-05 23:15
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 67.42%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%3.0%2026-07-05 23:20
ProphetX1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%3.2%2026-07-05 23:20
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%3.2%2026-07-05 23:20

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