The School of Odds

Los Angeles Dodgers v San Diego Padres

Kickoff: 2026-07-05 23:21 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 2–5 San Diego Padres

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prediction 66.41%1.51fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -3.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.38%66.44%66.43%68.24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.351.431.431.4874%70%70%68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

San Diego Padres (Visit)

Prediction 33.59%2.98fair odd
EV +0.779%
Edge +0.260%
Kelly +0.390%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.76%33.56%33.57%34.62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.702.862.863.0037%35%35%33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -6.37%E -4.52%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV +0.779%E +0.260%K +0.390%G +0.003%4.3%2026-07-05 23:19
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12%EV -3.05%E -2.09%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%EV +0.107%E +0.036%K +0.054%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 23:19
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -0.901%E -0.305%K -0.462%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-05 23:20
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.901%E -0.305%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 22:05
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.901%E -0.305%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 19:44
1xBet1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%EV -1.72%E -1.16%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%EV -1.91%E -0.654%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-05 21:55
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -2.38%E -1.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV -1.91%E -0.654%K -0.994%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 23:19
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -2.38%E -1.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV -1.91%E -0.654%K -0.994%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 23:20
BetAnything1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 19:20
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:20
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:20
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:15
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:20
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:15
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:15
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:20
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:15
Dabble (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 21:50
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -7.69%E -5.54%K -19.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 23:20
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -10.35%E -7.67%K -29.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 23:20
GTbets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -2.38%E -1.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-05 23:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -3.25%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 22:50
FanDuel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -3.25%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 22:50
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.25%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 23:18
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.25%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 23:20
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.25%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 23:15
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.25%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 23:20
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.25%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 23:20
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -3.59%E -1.25%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -3.59%E -1.25%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 23:09
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -2.38%E -1.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-05 22:10
MyBookie.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 23:18
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 22:50
ReBet1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.05%E -2.09%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-05 23:19
Caesars1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 23:19
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 19:15
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 21:45
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 21:45
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 21:45
Betr (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 19:55
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 20:00
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 19:55
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 19:55
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 19:54
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 23:20
Unibet (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.38%E -1.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 23:15
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.38%E -1.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 15:40
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 19:39
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 19:40
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 23:19
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 23:20
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 20:54
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -6.61%E -2.38%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 19:39
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -6.61%E -2.38%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 19:40
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 23:20
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 17:09
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 23:19
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 23:20
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.30%E -3.44%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 23:20
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -6.37%E -4.52%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -9.30%E -3.44%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 23:18
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.30%E -3.44%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 23:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.48I 67.57%NM 67.69%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.31%-0.2%2026-07-05 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-07-05 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-07-05 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-07-05 23:20
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-07-05 23:20
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-07-05 19:15
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-07-05 23:15
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 67.42%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%3.0%2026-07-05 23:20
ProphetX1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%3.2%2026-07-05 23:20
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%3.2%2026-07-05 23:20