L’École des cotes

Los Angeles Dodgers v San Diego Padres

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-05 23:21 UTC

Score final : Los Angeles Dodgers 2–5 San Diego Padres

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prévision 66.41%1.51cote équitable
EV -1.72%
Avantage -1.16%
Kelly -3.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.38%66.44%66.43%68.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.351.431.431.4874.07%69.83%69.93%67.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

San Diego Padres (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.59%2.98cote équitable
EV +0.779%
Avantage +0.260%
Kelly +0.390%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.76%33.56%33.57%34.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.862.863.0037.04%35.01%34.97%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Bovada1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -6.37%E -4.52%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV +0.779%E +0.260%K +0.390%G +0.003%4.3%2026-07-05 23:19
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12%EV -3.05%E -2.09%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%EV +0.107%E +0.036%K +0.054%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 23:19
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -0.901%E -0.305%K -0.462%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-05 23:20
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.901%E -0.305%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 22:05
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.901%E -0.305%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 19:44
1xBet1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%EV -1.72%E -1.16%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%EV -1.91%E -0.654%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-05 21:55
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -2.38%E -1.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV -1.91%E -0.654%K -0.994%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 23:19
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -2.38%E -1.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV -1.91%E -0.654%K -0.994%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 23:20
BetAnything1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 19:20
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:20
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:20
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:15
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:20
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:15
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:15
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:20
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:15
Dabble (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 21:50
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -7.69%E -5.54%K -19.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 23:20
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -10.35%E -7.67%K -29.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 23:20
GTbets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -2.38%E -1.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-05 23:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -3.25%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 22:50
FanDuel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -3.25%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 22:50
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.25%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 23:18
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.25%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 23:20
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.25%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 23:15
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.25%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 23:20
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.25%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 23:20
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -3.59%E -1.25%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -3.59%E -1.25%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 23:09
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -2.38%E -1.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-05 22:10
MyBookie.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 23:18
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 22:50
ReBet1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.05%E -2.09%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-05 23:19
Caesars1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 23:19
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 19:15
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 21:45
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 21:45
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 21:45
Betr (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 19:55
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 20:00
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 19:55
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 19:55
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 19:54
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 23:20
Unibet (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.38%E -1.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 23:15
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.38%E -1.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 15:40
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 19:39
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 19:40
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 23:19
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 23:20
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 20:54
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -6.61%E -2.38%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 19:39
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -6.61%E -2.38%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 19:40
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 23:20
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 17:09
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 23:19
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 23:20
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.30%E -3.44%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 23:20
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -6.37%E -4.52%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -9.30%E -3.44%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 23:18
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.30%E -3.44%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 23:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.48I 67.57%NM 67.69%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.31%-0.2%2026-07-05 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-07-05 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-07-05 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-07-05 23:20
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-07-05 23:20
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-07-05 19:15
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-07-05 23:15
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 67.42%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%3.0%2026-07-05 23:20
ProphetX1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%3.2%2026-07-05 23:20
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%3.2%2026-07-05 23:20