La escuela de los momios

Los Angeles Dodgers v San Diego Padres

Inicio: 2026-07-05 23:21 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 2–5 San Diego Padres

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Predicción 66.41%1.51momio equitativo
EV -1.72%
Ventaja -1.16%
Kelly -3.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.38%66.44%66.43%68.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.351.431.431.4874.07%69.83%69.93%67.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

San Diego Padres (Visitante)

Predicción 33.59%2.98momio equitativo
EV +0.779%
Ventaja +0.260%
Kelly +0.390%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.76%33.56%33.57%34.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.862.863.0037.04%35.01%34.97%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Bovada1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -6.37%E -4.52%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV +0.779%E +0.260%K +0.390%G +0.003%4.3%2026-07-05 23:19
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12%EV -3.05%E -2.09%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%EV +0.107%E +0.036%K +0.054%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 23:19
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -0.901%E -0.305%K -0.462%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-05 23:20
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.901%E -0.305%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 22:05
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.901%E -0.305%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 19:44
1xBet1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%EV -1.72%E -1.16%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%EV -1.91%E -0.654%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-05 21:55
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -2.38%E -1.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV -1.91%E -0.654%K -0.994%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 23:19
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -2.38%E -1.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV -1.91%E -0.654%K -0.994%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 23:20
BetAnything1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 19:20
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:20
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:20
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:15
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:20
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:15
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:15
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:20
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:15
Dabble (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 21:50
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -7.69%E -5.54%K -19.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 23:20
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -10.35%E -7.67%K -29.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 23:20
GTbets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -2.38%E -1.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-05 23:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -3.25%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 22:50
FanDuel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -3.25%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 22:50
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.25%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 23:18
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.25%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 23:20
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.25%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 23:15
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.25%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 23:20
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.25%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 23:20
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -3.59%E -1.25%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -3.59%E -1.25%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 23:09
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -2.38%E -1.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-05 22:10
MyBookie.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 23:18
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 22:50
ReBet1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.05%E -2.09%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-05 23:19
Caesars1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 23:19
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 19:15
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 21:45
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 21:45
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 21:45
Betr (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 19:55
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 20:00
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 19:55
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 19:55
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 19:54
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 23:20
Unibet (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.38%E -1.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 23:15
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.38%E -1.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 15:40
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 19:39
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 19:40
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 23:19
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 23:20
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 20:54
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -6.61%E -2.38%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 19:39
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -6.61%E -2.38%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 19:40
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 23:20
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 17:09
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 23:19
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 23:20
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.30%E -3.44%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 23:20
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -6.37%E -4.52%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -9.30%E -3.44%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 23:18
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.30%E -3.44%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 23:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.48I 67.57%NM 67.69%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.31%-0.2%2026-07-05 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-07-05 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-07-05 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-07-05 23:20
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-07-05 23:20
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-07-05 19:15
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-07-05 23:15
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 67.42%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%3.0%2026-07-05 23:20
ProphetX1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%3.2%2026-07-05 23:20
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%3.2%2026-07-05 23:20