La scuola delle quote

Los Angeles Dodgers v San Diego Padres

Inizio: 2026-07-05 23:21 UTC

Finale: Los Angeles Dodgers 2–5 San Diego Padres

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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63 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Los Angeles Dodgers (Casa)

Previsione 66.41%1.51quota equa
EV -1.72%
Vantaggio -1.16%
Kelly -3.58%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.48

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.38%66.44%66.43%68.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.351.431.431.4874.07%69.83%69.93%67.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

San Diego Padres (Trasferta)

Previsione 33.59%2.98quota equa
EV +0.779%
Vantaggio +0.260%
Kelly +0.390%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.76%33.56%33.57%34.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.862.863.0037.04%35.01%34.97%33.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Bovada1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -6.37%E -4.52%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV +0.779%E +0.260%K +0.390%G +0.003%4.3%2026-07-05 23:19
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12%EV -3.05%E -2.09%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%EV +0.107%E +0.036%K +0.054%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 23:19
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -0.901%E -0.305%K -0.462%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-05 23:20
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.901%E -0.305%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 22:05
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.901%E -0.305%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 19:44
1xBet1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%EV -1.72%E -1.16%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%EV -1.91%E -0.654%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-05 21:55
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -2.38%E -1.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV -1.91%E -0.654%K -0.994%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 23:19
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -2.38%E -1.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV -1.91%E -0.654%K -0.994%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 23:20
BetAnything1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 19:20
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:20
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:20
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:15
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:20
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:15
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:15
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:20
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 23:15
Dabble (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 21:50
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -7.69%E -5.54%K -19.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 23:20
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -10.35%E -7.67%K -29.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -2.58%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 23:20
GTbets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -2.38%E -1.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-05 23:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -3.25%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 22:50
FanDuel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -3.25%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 22:50
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.25%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 23:18
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.25%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 23:20
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.25%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 23:15
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.25%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 23:20
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.25%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 23:20
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -3.59%E -1.25%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -3.59%E -1.25%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 23:09
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -2.38%E -1.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-05 22:10
MyBookie.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 23:18
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 22:50
ReBet1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.05%E -2.09%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-05 23:19
Caesars1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 23:19
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 19:15
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 21:45
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 21:45
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 21:45
Betr (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 19:55
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 20:00
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 19:55
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 19:55
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 19:54
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 23:20
Unibet (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.38%E -1.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 23:15
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.38%E -1.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 15:40
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 19:39
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.71%E -2.56%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 19:40
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 23:19
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 23:20
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 20:54
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -6.61%E -2.38%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 19:39
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -6.61%E -2.38%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 19:40
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 23:20
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.37%E -3.04%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 17:09
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 23:19
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 23:20
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.30%E -3.44%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 23:20
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -6.37%E -4.52%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -9.30%E -3.44%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 23:18
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.30%E -3.44%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 23:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.48I 67.57%NM 67.69%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.31%-0.2%2026-07-05 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-07-05 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-07-05 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-07-05 23:20
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-07-05 23:20
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-07-05 19:15
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-07-05 23:15
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 67.42%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%3.0%2026-07-05 23:20
ProphetX1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%3.2%2026-07-05 23:20
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%3.2%2026-07-05 23:20