Language:English
Los Angeles Dodgers v Pittsburgh Pirates
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)
Prediction 70.34%1.42fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -3.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.18%70.46%70.32%72.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.361.361.4075.76%73.57%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)
Prediction 29.66%3.37fair odd
EV +3.80%
Edge +1.09%
Kelly +1.52%
Growth +0.058%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.69%29.54%29.68%31.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.203.203.5033.33%31.29%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 70.34%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 29.66%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.37. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.80%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -5.74%E -4.28%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +3.80%E +1.09%K +1.52%G +0.058% | 3.2% | 2026-08-22 22:58 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%EV -1.52%E -1.09%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%EV +0.833%E +0.245%K +0.347%G +0.003% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 21:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.58%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.42%EV -1.84%E -0.555%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-22 21:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.58%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.42%EV -1.84%E -0.555%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-22 21:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21%EV -1.52%E -1.09%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%EV -2.13%E -0.646%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-22 21:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.33%E -3.19%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.13%E -0.646%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.13%E -0.646%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-22 23:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.74%E -4.28%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.13%E -0.646%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 19:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.74%E -4.28%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.13%E -0.646%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 23:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -7.15%E -5.41%K -22.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.13%E -0.646%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 23:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.30%EV -2.22%E -1.60%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.70%EV -2.43%E -0.738%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-22 22:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.45%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.55%EV -2.43%E -0.738%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-22 14:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.54%EV -3.63%E -2.65%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.46%EV -2.73%E -0.831%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-22 23:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.02%EV -1.52%E -1.09%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.98%EV -3.02%E -0.924%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-22 22:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -5.74%E -4.28%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -3.32%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 23:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -3.62%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-22 21:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -3.62%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-22 21:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.63%E -2.65%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -3.62%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-22 23:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.62%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 23:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.44%E -4.84%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.62%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 23:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.00%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.00%EV -4.51%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.63%E -2.65%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -4.51%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-22 23:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-22 21:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-22 21:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.33%E -3.19%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 20:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.33%E -3.19%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.33%E -3.19%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 21:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.33%E -3.19%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 20:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.33%E -3.19%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 21:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.33%E -3.19%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 21:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.33%E -3.19%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 20:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.33%E -3.19%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 21:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.33%E -3.19%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 21:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.33%E -3.19%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 21:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.33%E -3.19%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 21:22 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.33%E -3.19%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 21:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.33%E -3.19%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 21:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 23:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 20:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 21:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.33%E -3.19%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.33%E -3.19%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 23:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.33%E -3.19%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 21:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 23:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.74%E -4.28%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 23:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.74%E -4.28%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 21:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.74%E -4.28%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 21:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.44%E -4.84%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.44%E -4.84%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.44%E -4.84%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -6.44%E -4.84%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -7.47%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 23:13 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -6.44%E -4.84%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -7.47%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 23:13 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.52%E -1.09%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-22 23:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.33%E -3.19%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 23:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 22:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.44%E -4.84%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.44%E -4.84%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 23:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -7.15%E -5.41%K -22.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.55%E -3.13%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 20:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -9.84%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 19:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.52%E -1.09%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -11.03%E -3.68%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 01:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.52%E -1.09%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -11.03%E -3.68%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 01:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.74%E -4.28%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -11.03%E -3.68%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 23:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 71.05% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.95% | -0.2% | 2026-08-22 23:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.77% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 29.23% | 0.9% | 2026-08-22 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-08-22 19:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.0% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-08-22 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47% | 1.3% | 2026-08-22 23:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32% | 1.8% | 2026-08-22 23:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49% | 2.8% | 2026-08-22 23:15 |