Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Pittsburgh Pirates

2026-08-22 23:16 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prediction 68.93%1.45fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.995%
Kelly -3.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.15%68.90%69.04%70.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.381.381.4375.19%72.41%72.46%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)

Prediction 31.07%3.22fair odd
EV +2.52%
Edge +0.762%
Kelly +1.09%
Growth +0.028%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.96%31.10%30.96%32.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.073.103.3035.71%32.52%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 68.93%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 31.07%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.22. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.30, producing a positive expected value of +2.52%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%EV -2.11%E -1.49%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%EV +2.52%E +0.762%K +1.09%G +0.028%0.7%2026-08-21 22:34
Caesars🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -4.18%E -3.01%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV +0.962%E +0.296%K +0.428%G +0.004%2.7%2026-08-21 21:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76%EV -3.49%E -2.49%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24%EV +0.341%E +0.106%K +0.153%G +0.001%2.4%2026-08-21 19:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76%EV -3.49%E -2.49%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24%EV +0.341%E +0.106%K +0.153%G +0.001%2.4%2026-08-21 19:19
theScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.56%E -4.06%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -0.591%E -0.185%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-21 23:54
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%EV -2.80%E -1.99%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%EV -2.14%E -0.681%K -0.997%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-21 21:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.87%E -3.53%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.14%E -0.681%K -0.997%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 00:15
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.87%E -3.53%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.14%E -0.681%K -0.997%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 00:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.87%E -3.53%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.14%E -0.681%K -0.997%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 00:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.87%E -3.53%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.14%E -0.681%K -0.997%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 00:15
Bet Right🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.56%E -4.06%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -2.14%E -0.681%K -0.997%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 22:14
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -5.56%E -4.06%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -2.45%E -0.782%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 22:14
1xBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%EV -1.42%E -0.995%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-21 19:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.49%E -2.49%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-22 00:10
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.49%E -2.49%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-21 21:00
FanDuel🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.18%E -3.01%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-21 19:20
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.87%E -3.53%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 19:19
Fliff🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.87%E -3.53%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 00:15
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.87%E -3.53%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 00:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.87%E -3.53%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 00:15
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.87%E -3.53%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 00:15
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.87%E -3.53%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 00:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.87%E -3.53%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 00:15
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.87%E -3.53%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 00:15
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.87%E -3.53%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 00:24
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.25%E -4.59%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 19:20
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -6.25%E -4.59%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%EV -4.32%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 19:19
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -4.87%E -3.53%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -4.63%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 22:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.87%E -3.53%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.25%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 22:14
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.87%E -3.53%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.25%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 00:15
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.25%E -4.59%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.25%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 19:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.25%E -4.59%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.25%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 19:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.25%E -4.59%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.25%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 19:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.25%E -4.59%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.25%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 00:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.25%E -4.59%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.25%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 00:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.49%E -2.49%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.80%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 21:54
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.49%E -2.49%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.80%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 19:30
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.49%E -2.49%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.80%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 23:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.18%E -3.01%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.80%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 19:45
ReBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.18%E -3.01%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -8.36%E -2.83%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 23:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.18%E -3.01%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -8.36%E -2.83%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 21:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.18%E -3.01%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -8.36%E -2.83%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 21:55
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -8.32%E -6.25%K -25.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -8.36%E -2.83%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 00:15
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.25%E -4.59%K -17.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 21:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -5.56%E -4.06%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -13.02%E -4.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 00:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.25%E -4.59%K -17.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -13.02%E -4.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-21 23:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-08-21 22:30
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 69.46%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.54%1.4%2026-08-22 01:00
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-08-22 00:04
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%3.7%2026-08-21 23:50
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 67.31%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.69%10.0%2026-08-22 01:00

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