Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Pittsburgh Pirates

Início: 2026-08-22 23:16 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 4–3 Pittsburgh Pirates

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Previsão 70.34%1.42odd justa
EV -1.52%
Vantagem -1.09%
Kelly -3.80%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.18%70.46%70.32%72.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.321.361.361.4075.76%73.57%73.53%71.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Previsão 29.66%3.37odd justa
EV +3.80%
Vantagem +1.09%
Kelly +1.52%
Crescimento +0.058%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.69%29.54%29.68%31.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.203.203.5033.33%31.29%31.25%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 70.34%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante): 29.66%. Para Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.37. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.80%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Caesars🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -5.74%E -4.28%K -16.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +3.80%E +1.09%K +1.52%G +0.058%3.2%2026-08-22 22:58
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%EV -1.52%E -1.09%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%EV +0.833%E +0.245%K +0.347%G +0.003%0.8%2026-08-22 21:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.58%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.42%EV -1.84%E -0.555%K -0.795%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-22 21:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.58%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.42%EV -1.84%E -0.555%K -0.795%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-22 21:30
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21%EV -1.52%E -1.09%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%EV -2.13%E -0.646%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-22 21:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.33%E -3.19%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.13%E -0.646%K -0.927%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 19:00
TAB🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.13%E -0.646%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-22 23:15
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.74%E -4.28%K -16.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.13%E -0.646%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 19:10
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.74%E -4.28%K -16.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.13%E -0.646%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 23:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -7.15%E -5.41%K -22.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.13%E -0.646%K -0.927%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 23:15
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.30%EV -2.22%E -1.60%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.70%EV -2.43%E -0.738%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-22 22:30
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.45%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.55%EV -2.43%E -0.738%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-22 14:09
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.54%EV -3.63%E -2.65%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.46%EV -2.73%E -0.831%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-22 23:15
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 70.02%EV -1.52%E -1.09%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.98%EV -3.02%E -0.924%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-22 22:24
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -5.74%E -4.28%K -16.88%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -3.32%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 23:15
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -3.62%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-22 21:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -3.62%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-22 21:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.63%E -2.65%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -3.62%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 23:15
PlayUp🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.62%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 23:15
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.44%E -4.84%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.62%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 23:14
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.00%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.00%EV -4.51%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-22 19:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.63%E -2.65%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -4.51%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-22 23:10
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 21:10
GTbets🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-22 21:30
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.33%E -3.19%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 20:04
Bet Right🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.33%E -3.19%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 19:00
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.33%E -3.19%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 21:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.33%E -3.19%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 20:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.33%E -3.19%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 21:14
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.33%E -3.19%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 21:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.33%E -3.19%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 20:04
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.33%E -3.19%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 21:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.33%E -3.19%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 21:14
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.33%E -3.19%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 21:14
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.33%E -3.19%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 21:22
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.33%E -3.19%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 21:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.33%E -3.19%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 21:24
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 23:15
ReBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 20:04
BetAnything🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 21:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.33%E -3.19%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 19:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.33%E -3.19%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 23:04
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.33%E -3.19%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 21:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 23:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.74%E -4.28%K -16.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 23:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.74%E -4.28%K -16.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 21:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.74%E -4.28%K -16.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 21:14
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.44%E -4.84%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 19:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.44%E -4.84%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 19:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.44%E -4.84%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 19:00
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -6.44%E -4.84%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -7.47%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 23:13
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -6.44%E -4.84%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -7.47%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 23:13
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.52%E -1.09%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-22 23:05
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.33%E -3.19%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 18:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 23:14
Dabble (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.04%E -3.73%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 22:45
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.44%E -4.84%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 20:50
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.44%E -4.84%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 23:15
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -7.15%E -5.41%K -22.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.55%E -3.13%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 20:04
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -2.93%E -2.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -9.84%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 19:24
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.52%E -1.09%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -11.03%E -3.68%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 01:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.52%E -1.09%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -11.03%E -3.68%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 01:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.74%E -4.28%K -16.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -11.03%E -3.68%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 23:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.41I 70.92%NM 71.05%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.95%-0.2%2026-08-22 23:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-08-22 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-08-22 23:10
Novig◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.77%3.39I 29.50%NM 29.23%0.9%2026-08-22 23:10
Kalshi◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-22 19:20
Polymarket◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-08-22 19:00
ProphetX◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-08-22 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-08-22 23:15
Matchbook◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%1.8%2026-08-22 23:15
Smarkets◎1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%2.8%2026-08-22 23:15