默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Pittsburgh Pirates

2026-08-22 23:16 UTC — MLB

胜负盘

46 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Los Angeles Dodgers (主队)

预测 68.93%1.45公平赔率
EV -1.42%
优势 -0.995%
Kelly -3.31%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.43

博彩公司预测分布
67.15%68.90%69.04%70.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.331.381.381.4375.19%72.41%72.46%69.93%最小值均值中位数最大值

Pittsburgh Pirates (客队)

预测 31.07%3.22公平赔率
EV +2.52%
优势 +0.762%
Kelly +1.09%
增长率 +0.028%

假设最高赔率为 3.30

博彩公司预测分布
29.96%31.10%30.96%32.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.073.103.3035.71%32.52%32.26%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Los Angeles Dodgers (主队):68.93%;Pittsburgh Pirates (客队):31.07%。 对于“Pittsburgh Pirates (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.22。 有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为3.30,由此产生+2.52%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%EV -2.11%E -1.49%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%EV +2.52%E +0.762%K +1.09%G +0.028%0.7%2026-08-21 22:34
Caesars🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -4.18%E -3.01%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV +0.962%E +0.296%K +0.428%G +0.004%2.7%2026-08-21 21:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76%EV -3.49%E -2.49%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24%EV +0.341%E +0.106%K +0.153%G +0.001%2.4%2026-08-21 19:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76%EV -3.49%E -2.49%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24%EV +0.341%E +0.106%K +0.153%G +0.001%2.4%2026-08-21 19:19
theScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.56%E -4.06%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -0.591%E -0.185%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-21 23:54
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%EV -2.80%E -1.99%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%EV -2.14%E -0.681%K -0.997%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-21 21:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.87%E -3.53%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.14%E -0.681%K -0.997%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 00:15
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.87%E -3.53%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.14%E -0.681%K -0.997%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 00:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.87%E -3.53%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.14%E -0.681%K -0.997%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 00:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.87%E -3.53%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.14%E -0.681%K -0.997%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 00:15
Bet Right🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.56%E -4.06%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -2.14%E -0.681%K -0.997%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 22:14
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -5.56%E -4.06%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -2.45%E -0.782%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 22:14
1xBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%EV -1.42%E -0.995%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-21 19:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.49%E -2.49%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-22 00:10
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.49%E -2.49%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-21 21:00
FanDuel🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.18%E -3.01%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-21 19:20
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.87%E -3.53%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 19:19
Fliff🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.87%E -3.53%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 00:15
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.87%E -3.53%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 00:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.87%E -3.53%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 00:15
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.87%E -3.53%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 00:15
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.87%E -3.53%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 00:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.87%E -3.53%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 00:15
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.87%E -3.53%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 00:15
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.87%E -3.53%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 00:24
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.25%E -4.59%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 19:20
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -6.25%E -4.59%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%EV -4.32%E -1.40%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 19:19
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -4.87%E -3.53%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -4.63%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 22:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.87%E -3.53%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.25%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 22:14
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.87%E -3.53%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.25%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 00:15
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.25%E -4.59%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.25%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 19:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.25%E -4.59%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.25%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 19:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.25%E -4.59%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.25%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 19:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.25%E -4.59%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.25%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 00:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.25%E -4.59%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.25%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 00:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.49%E -2.49%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.80%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 21:54
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.49%E -2.49%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.80%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 19:30
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.49%E -2.49%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.80%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 23:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.18%E -3.01%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.80%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 19:45
ReBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.18%E -3.01%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -8.36%E -2.83%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 23:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.18%E -3.01%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -8.36%E -2.83%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 21:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.18%E -3.01%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -8.36%E -2.83%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 21:55
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -8.32%E -6.25%K -25.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -8.36%E -2.83%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 00:15
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.25%E -4.59%K -17.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 21:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -5.56%E -4.06%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -13.02%E -4.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 00:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.25%E -4.59%K -17.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -13.02%E -4.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-21 23:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-08-21 22:30
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 69.46%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.54%1.4%2026-08-22 01:00
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-08-22 00:04
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%3.7%2026-08-21 23:50
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 67.15%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.85%9.5%2026-08-22 01:05

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