Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Kansas City Royals

Kickoff: 2026-08-13 02:11 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 4–2 Kansas City Royals

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prediction 66.61%1.50fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.957%
Kelly -2.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.59%66.57%66.47%67.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.431.431.4873.53%69.91%69.93%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas City Royals (Visit)

Prediction 33.39%2.99fair odd
EV +0.503%
Edge +0.167%
Kelly +0.250%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.24%33.43%33.53%35.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.872.873.0137.74%34.80%34.84%33.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 66.61%; Kansas City Royals (Visit): 33.39%. For Kansas City Royals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.99. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.01, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.503%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 67.34%EV -2.75%E -1.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.66%EV +0.503%E +0.167%K +0.250%G +0.001%1.7%2026-08-13 01:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%EV -1.42%E -0.957%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%EV +0.169%E +0.056%K +0.085%G +0.000%0.9%2026-08-12 22:24
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -3.42%E -2.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV +0.169%E +0.056%K +0.085%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 23:30
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -3.42%E -2.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV +0.169%E +0.056%K +0.085%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-13 02:05
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV +0.169%E +0.056%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-13 01:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV +0.169%E +0.056%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-13 01:55
Caesars🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%EV -2.75%E -1.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%EV -1.17%E -0.394%K -0.595%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-13 02:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.89%EV -2.75%E -1.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.11%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-13 02:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.89%EV -2.75%E -1.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.11%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-13 02:05
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.41%E -3.81%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 01:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.41%E -3.81%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 01:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.41%E -3.81%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 01:54
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.08%E -4.31%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.08%E -4.31%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:55
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.08%E -4.31%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:55
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.08%E -4.31%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:54
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.08%E -4.31%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.08%E -4.31%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:54
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.08%E -4.31%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:55
GTbets🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.74%EV -2.75%E -1.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.26%EV -2.17%E -0.740%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-13 02:05
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -6.08%E -4.31%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -2.17%E -0.740%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 23:30
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%EV -1.42%E -0.957%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%EV -2.50%E -0.857%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-13 01:34
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.42%E -2.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.17%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-13 00:49
BetAnything🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.42%E -2.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.17%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-13 00:55
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.42%E -2.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.17%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-12 22:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.41%E -3.81%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.17%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 01:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -8.08%E -5.85%K -21.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -3.17%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 01:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -8.08%E -5.85%K -21.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -3.17%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 01:54
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -3.84%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 02:05
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.08%E -2.83%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -4.17%E -1.45%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 22:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.08%E -2.83%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -4.17%E -1.45%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 22:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.42%E -2.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-13 00:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.42%E -2.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-13 01:30
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.08%E -2.83%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 22:24
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.08%E -2.83%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 22:24
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.08%E -2.83%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-13 01:30
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.08%E -2.83%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-13 01:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 00:05
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 02:05
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 00:04
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.75%E -4.82%K -16.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-12 22:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.75%E -4.82%K -16.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-12 22:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.75%E -4.82%K -16.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-12 22:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.75%E -4.82%K -16.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-13 01:50
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -9.41%E -6.92%K -26.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-13 01:55
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -5.17%E -1.82%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 22:19
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -5.17%E -1.82%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 22:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -5.51%E -1.95%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 01:30
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.08%E -1.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-12 23:10
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.42%E -2.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 02:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.41%E -3.81%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 19:05
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.75%E -4.82%K -16.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 23:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.08%E -2.83%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 01:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.08%E -2.83%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 01:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.42%E -0.957%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -9.85%E -3.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 22:24
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.42%E -0.957%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -9.85%E -3.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 22:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.85%E -3.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-13 01:30
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.75%E -4.82%K -16.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.85%E -3.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-13 01:55
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.75%E -4.82%K -16.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.85%E -3.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-13 01:58
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -5.41%E -3.81%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -11.52%E -4.35%K -6.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-13 01:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.48I 67.57%NM 67.69%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.31%-0.2%2026-08-13 02:00
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 67.69%3.08I 32.47%NM 32.31%0.5%2026-08-13 02:05
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-08-13 02:05
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-08-12 22:55
Polymarket1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-08-13 01:45
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-08-13 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-08-13 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-08-13 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-08-13 02:05
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%2.2%2026-08-13 01:25